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LGCL$2.05+15.28%
Fair $2.05+0.0%

LGCL

Lucas GC Limited

Technology / Software - ApplicationNasdaqCM

$2.05

+0.27 (+15.28%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.05Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 65/B
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-48.5M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

65/100

B

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · LGCLLocal privado en este navegador · Lucas GC Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$88M

P/E

3.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.0x

↓

ROE

15.1%

↑

Gross Margin

33.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.26

↑
52-Week Range$2
$1$51

TradingView lightweight chart

LGCL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.052Periodo -98.6%
Fair value: $2.052

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+17.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.4%

FCF / Net income

-1.43x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.06B · net income $39.8M · FCF $-57.0M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

33.6%+6.2% pts

Operating margin

2.6%-3.1% pts

Net margin

3.7%-2.3% pts

FCF margin

-5.4%-11.0% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$1.06B$1.06B$1.47B$766.6M$652.2M
Net Income$39.8M$39.8M$77.7M$36.1M$39.5M
EBITDA$40.4M$40.4M$76.2M$35.6M$38.6M
EPS20.0720.070.960.42—
Gross Margin33.6%33.6%28.4%28.1%27.5%
Operating Margin2.6%2.6%4.6%4.1%5.7%
Net Margin3.7%3.7%5.3%4.7%6.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.260.260.200.06—
Current Ratio1.611.61———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-57.0M$-57.0M$-48.5M$-28.8M$36.5M
Returns
ROE15.1%15.1%40.0%31.2%-127.1%
Valuation
P/E3.423.42———
EV/EBITDA4.974.97———
P/B0.620.62———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-27.9%-27.9%92.3%17.5%—
EPS Growth1996.5%1996.5%129.2%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-79.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.18

Spread vs growth

2075.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-59.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.22

Spread vs growth

2056.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-33.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.35

Spread vs growth

2029.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -89.9%

Total return

-89.9%

Start / end P/E

21.3x → 0.1x

EPS bridge

0.96 → 20.07

Residual

-1987.0%

EPS growth+1996.5%
Multiple rerating-99.5%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1987.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.