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LILAK.IS$35.94+2.22%
Fair $35.94+0.0%

LILAK.IS

LILAK.IS

Consumer Defensive / Household & Personal ProductsIstanbul

$35.94

+0.78 (+2.22%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $35.94Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 63/B
F-Score: 7/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $4.0B · quality 78.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 76/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

63/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · LILAK.ISLocal privado en este navegador · LILAK.IS
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$21.2B

P/E

13.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.5x

↓

ROE

10.5%

↑

Gross Margin

30.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.11

↓
52-Week Range$36
$21$44

TradingView lightweight chart

LILAK.IS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $35.94Periodo -12.6%
Fair value: $35.94

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.6%

FCF CAGR

+10.1%

FCF margin

14.8%

FCF / Net income

1.19x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $13.60B · net income $1.70B · FCF $2.02B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.1%-4.8% pts

Operating margin

13.4%-8.6% pts

Net margin

12.5%-3.8% pts

FCF margin

14.8%+2.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$13.60B$13.60B$16.39B$13.51B$12.61B
Net Income$1.70B$1.70B$1.54B$324.1M$2.05B
EBITDA$2.66B$2.66B$3.34B$1.64B$2.48B
EPS2.892.892.750.553.48
Gross Margin30.1%30.1%28.1%30.1%34.9%
Operating Margin13.4%13.4%13.7%17.4%22.0%
Net Margin12.5%12.5%9.4%2.4%16.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.110.110.200.550.77
Current Ratio3.643.64———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.02B$2.02B$4.01B$3.99B$1.51B
Returns
ROE10.5%10.5%9.9%4.4%40.9%
Valuation
P/E13.5613.569.91——
EV/EBITDA6.486.483.30——
P/B1.311.310.98——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-17.0%-17.0%21.3%7.2%—
EPS Growth4.9%4.9%401.0%-84.2%—
Dividend Yield4.3%4.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

3.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$3.19

Spread vs growth

1.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

6.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.86

Spread vs growth

-1.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$6.21

Spread vs growth

-3.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +65.8%

Total return

+65.8%

Start / end P/E

8.1x → 12.4x

EPS bridge

2.75 → 2.89

Residual

+2.7%

EPS growth+4.9%
Multiple rerating+53.9%
Dividend+4.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+2.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.