StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
LINC$49.37-0.04%
Fair $49.37+0.0%

LINC

Lincoln Educational Services Corporation

Consumer Defensive / Education & Training ServicesNasdaqGS

$49.37

-0.02 (-0.04%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $49.37Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-27.3M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 0unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · LINCLocal privado en este navegador · Lincoln Educational Services Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.6B

P/E

68.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

35.3x

↑

ROE

10.0%

↑

Gross Margin

60.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.02

↑
52-Week Range$49
$17$54

TradingView lightweight chart

LINC price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $49.37Periodo +144.8%
Fair value: $49.37

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.3%

FCF / Net income

-1.37x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $518.2M · net income $20.0M · FCF $-27.3M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

60.4%— pts

Operating margin

5.6%-10.4% pts

Net margin

3.9%-5.1% pts

FCF margin

-5.3%-14.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$518.2M$518.2M$440.1M$378.1M$348.3M$335.3M$293.1M$273.3M$263.2M$261.9M$285.6M$306.1M$218.0M$215.6M$380.2M$456.7M$604.8M$552.5M
Net Income$20.0M$20.0M$9.9M$26.0M$12.6M$34.7M$48.6M$2.0M$-11.5M$-11.5M$-28.3M$-3.4M$-56.1M$-51.3M$-37.2M$17.5M$69.7M$49.2M
EBITDA$48.7M$48.7M$28.6M$42.6M$23.0M$56.4M$22.2M$13.4M$4.5M$4.0M$-17.8M$15.2M$-4.3M$20.2M$14.1M$63.4M$141.2M$112.6M
EPS0.640.640.320.850.361.041.490.08-0.48-0.48-1.21-0.14-2.46-2.28-1.680.792.791.82
Gross Margin60.4%60.4%58.7%57.1%57.3%—————————————
Operating Margin5.6%5.6%3.3%1.8%4.9%14.7%5.0%1.9%-1.5%-1.8%-10.1%0.2%-10.9%-1.6%-3.4%7.7%19.0%16.0%
Net Margin3.9%3.9%2.2%6.9%3.6%10.4%16.6%0.7%-4.4%-4.4%-9.9%-1.1%-25.7%-23.8%-9.8%3.8%11.5%8.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.021.021.000.700.690.000.170.740.851.150.550.400.000.380.03———
Current Ratio0.830.83————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-27.3M$-27.3M$-27.6M$-15.1M$-8.1M$19.9M$17.9M$-4.4M$-6.4M$-16.1M$-9.7M$12.1M$4.5M$-3.3M$7.1M$-1.3M$72.1M$49.2M
Returns
ROE10.0%10.0%5.5%15.6%8.7%26.8%53.3%4.7%-28.8%-25.1%-51.5%-4.1%-67.6%-35.3%-18.7%7.3%31.3%22.5%
Valuation
P/E68.5768.5748.1210.6916.92—————————————
EV/EBITDA35.3135.3120.767.489.24—————————————
P/B7.737.732.671.661.09—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth17.8%17.8%16.4%8.6%—14.4%7.2%3.9%0.5%-8.3%-6.7%40.4%1.1%-43.3%-16.8%-24.5%9.5%—
EPS Growth100.0%100.0%-62.4%136.1%—-30.2%1762.5%116.7%0.0%60.3%-764.3%94.3%-7.9%-35.7%-312.7%-71.7%53.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

89.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.38

Spread vs growth

10.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

52.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.30

Spread vs growth

47.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

29.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$8.54

Spread vs growth

70.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +113.9%

Total return

+113.9%

Start / end P/E

72.1x → 77.1x

EPS bridge

0.32 → 0.64

Residual

+7.0%

EPS growth+100.0%
Multiple rerating+7.0%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+7.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.