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LKD.WA$24.30-2.02%
Fair $24.30+0.0%

LKD.WA

Lokum Deweloper S.A.

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentWarsaw

$24.30

-0.50 (-2.02%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $24.30Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueMargin Compression

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 39.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · LKD.WALocal privado en este navegador · Lokum Deweloper S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$437M

P/E

73.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.1x

↓

ROE

6.0%

↑

Gross Margin

38.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.36

↓
52-Week Range$24
$19$27

TradingView lightweight chart

LKD.WA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $24.30Periodo +83.4%
Fair value: $24.30

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-33.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-104.5%

FCF / Net income

-3.33x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $106.4M · net income $33.4M · FCF $-111.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

38.6%+1.7% pts

Operating margin

-19.6%-49.5% pts

Net margin

31.4%+15.8% pts

FCF margin

-104.5%-141.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$106.4M$106.4M$189.3M$451.3M$366.7M
Net Income$33.4M$33.4M$34.1M$138.0M$57.3M
EBITDA$55.6M$55.6M$53.0M$187.1M$105.9M
EPS1.861.861.907.673.18
Gross Margin38.6%38.6%38.1%37.6%36.9%
Operating Margin-19.6%-19.6%21.4%26.6%29.9%
Net Margin31.4%31.4%18.0%30.6%15.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.360.360.140.220.61
Current Ratio12.4412.44———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-111.2M$-111.2M$-63.6M$347.1M$137.0M
Returns
ROE6.0%6.0%6.4%25.6%13.3%
Valuation
P/E73.6473.6410.633.425.09
EV/EBITDA11.1011.107.781.904.59
P/B0.790.790.680.870.68
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-43.8%-43.8%-58.1%23.1%—
EPS Growth-2.1%-2.1%-75.2%141.2%—
Dividend Yield4.2%4.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

5.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.16

Spread vs growth

-7.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

7.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.61

Spread vs growth

-9.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$4.20

Spread vs growth

-10.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +22.1%

Total return

+22.1%

Start / end P/E

10.8x → 13.1x

EPS bridge

1.90 → 1.86

Residual

-0.4%

EPS growth-2.1%
Multiple rerating+20.5%
Dividend+4.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.