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LPCN$2.28+1.33%
Fair $2.28+0.0%

LPCN

Lipocine Inc.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyNasdaqCM

$2.28

+0.03 (+1.33%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.28Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 14/F
F-Score: 0/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-9.8M · quality 37.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

14/100

F

Piotroski

0/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 15Warnings: 1unknown: 15
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. ROE is -66.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · LPCNLocal privado en este navegador · Lipocine Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$19M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-66.5%

↓

Gross Margin

-334.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$2
$2$12

TradingView lightweight chart

LPCN price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.280Periodo -98.7%
Fair value: $2.280

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2011–2025 · 14 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-493.8%

FCF / Net income

1.01x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.0M · net income $-9.6M · FCF $-9.8M

2011-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-334.3%— pts

Operating margin

-524.7%— pts

Net margin

-487.1%— pts

FCF margin

-493.8%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Income Statement
Revenue$2.0M$2.0M$11.2M$-2.9M$500000.00$16.1M$0.00$164990.00$428031.00$0.00$0.00——$0.00$7.7M—
Net Income$-9.6M$-9.6M$8352.00$-16.4M$-10.8M$-634399.00$-21.0M$-13.0M$-11.7M$-21.0M$-19.0M$-18.2M$-20.4M$-10.6M$3.9M$-5162.00
EBITDA$-10.3M$-10.3M$-1.1M$-17.9M$-10.7M$3.1M$-18.0M$-12.9M$-11.3M$-21.2M$-19.2M$-18.4M$-20.5M$-10.7M$3.9M—
EPS-1.77-1.77—-3.14-2.21-0.17-6.46-8.50-9.35-17.85-17.68-18.87-27.20-24.4814.45—
Gross Margin-334.3%-334.3%34.3%456.9%-1611.4%———————————
Operating Margin-524.7%-524.7%-10.3%629.0%-2423.9%19.5%—-7818.8%-2646.0%—————50.3%—
Net Margin-487.1%-487.1%0.1%573.6%-2151.7%-3.9%—-7883.7%-2724.1%—————50.4%—
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity—————0.040.150.610.730.00——————
Current Ratio9.999.99——————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-9.8M$-9.8M$-1.3M$-11.9M$-12.1M$-4.4M——$-12.1M$-16.7M$-18.3M$-15.4M—$-8.6M$-3.2M—
Returns
ROE-66.5%-66.5%0.0%-80.3%-30.2%-1.4%-136.7%-206.9%-123.6%-110.6%-72.9%-43.4%-77.3%-23.6%73.1%-0.4%
Valuation
P/B0.900.901.310.751.20———————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-82.3%-82.3%492.8%-670.2%——-100.0%-61.5%—————-100.0%——
EPS Growth———-42.1%—97.4%24.0%9.1%47.6%-1.0%6.3%30.6%-11.1%-269.4%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -32.5%

Total return

-32.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → -1.77

Residual

-32.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-32.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.