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v0.1
LPPF.JK$1605.00+0.31%
Fair $1605.00+0.0%

LPPF.JK

PT MDS Retailing Tbk

Consumer Cyclical / Department StoresJakarta

$1605.00

+5.00 (+0.31%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1605.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 1/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.7T · quality 56.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 85/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 9.42, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 2.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · LPPF.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT MDS Retailing Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.88T

P/E

4.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.1x

↓

ROE

265.8%

↑

Gross Margin

34.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

9.42

↑
52-Week Range$1605
$1525$1990

TradingView lightweight chart

LPPF.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,605Periodo -98.0%
Fair value: $1,605

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.7%

FCF CAGR

-9.4%

FCF margin

13.8%

FCF / Net income

2.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $11.03T · net income $725.38B · FCF $1.53T

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

34.5%-1.1% pts

Operating margin

9.3%-3.6% pts

Net margin

6.6%-4.6% pts

FCF margin

13.8%-2.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$11034.51B$11034.51B$12307.78B$12563.71B$12350.72B
Net Income$725.38B$725.38B$827.65B$675.36B$1383.22B
EBITDA$1862.57B$1862.57B$2045.33B$2002.16B$2631.91B
EPS324.00324.00366.00298.00582.00
Gross Margin34.5%34.5%34.7%34.3%35.6%
Operating Margin9.3%9.3%10.5%9.6%12.9%
Net Margin6.6%6.6%6.7%5.4%11.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity9.429.428.73117.145.06
Current Ratio0.960.96———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1527.23B$1527.23B$1668.26B$1741.80B$2052.37B
Returns
ROE265.8%265.8%254.0%2197.2%238.4%
Valuation
P/E4.584.583.897.457.25
EV/EBITDA3.073.072.774.064.79
P/B13.1513.159.88163.6617.28
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-10.3%-10.3%-2.0%1.7%—
EPS Growth-11.5%-11.5%22.8%-48.8%—
Dividend Yield15.6%15.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-24.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$142.42

Spread vs growth

12.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-11.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$172.32

Spread vs growth

0.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$277.53

Spread vs growth

-9.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -2.5%

Total return

-2.5%

Start / end P/E

5.4x → 5.0x

EPS bridge

366.00 → 324.00

Residual

+0.9%

EPS growth-11.5%
Multiple rerating-7.5%
Dividend+15.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.