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v0.1
LQDT$37.02+2.24%
Fair $37.02+0.0%

LQDT

Liquidity Services, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Internet RetailNasdaqGS

$37.02

+0.81 (+2.24%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $37.02Fund rank 39/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 61/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 22% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $59.0M · quality 81.0/100

Data gap 39/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 84/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

61/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 0unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · LQDTLocal privado en este navegador · Liquidity Services, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.2B

P/E

39.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

22.8x

↑

ROE

13.8%

↑

Gross Margin

43.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.07

↓
52-Week Range$37
$22$39

TradingView lightweight chart

LQDT price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $37.02Periodo +212.4%
Fair value: $37.02

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.0%

FCF CAGR

+16.2%

FCF margin

12.4%

FCF / Net income

2.10x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $476.7M · net income $28.1M · FCF $59.0M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

43.8%— pts

Operating margin

7.4%+0.2% pts

Net margin

5.9%+3.3% pts

FCF margin

12.4%+9.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$476.7M$476.7M$363.3M$314.5M$280.1M$257.5M$205.9M$226.5M$224.5M$270.0M$316.5M$397.1M$495.7M$505.9M$475.3M$327.4M$273.0M$219.0M
Net Income$28.1M$28.1M$20.0M$21.0M$40.3M$50.9M$-3.8M$-19.3M$-11.6M$-39.2M$-59.9M$-104.8M$30.4M$41.1M$48.3M$8.5M$12.0M$5.7M
EBITDA$45.5M$45.5M$35.5M$37.4M$33.2M$34.1M$2.4M$-14.4M$-17.1M$-34.4M$-27.6M$-135.0M$67.0M$85.3M$96.3M$43.0M$32.1M$19.2M
EPS0.870.870.630.651.201.45-0.11-0.58——-1.96-3.500.971.261.470.290.440.21
Gross Margin43.8%43.8%51.0%54.7%57.4%58.2%53.4%50.0%48.9%46.1%51.2%51.1%——————
Operating Margin7.4%7.4%6.4%8.3%8.2%10.5%-1.9%-8.6%-9.7%-14.9%-10.8%-36.3%10.2%13.4%17.3%11.4%10.1%7.2%
Net Margin5.9%5.9%5.5%6.7%14.4%19.8%-1.8%-8.5%-5.2%-14.5%-18.9%-26.4%6.1%8.1%10.2%2.6%4.4%2.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.070.070.080.070.09—————————————
Current Ratio1.511.51————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$59.0M$59.0M$61.3M$41.6M$36.7M$60.0M$12.3M$-12.2M$-3.6M$-39.5M$39.7M$36.2M$4.3M$41.3M$45.4M$35.1M$28.3M$5.3M
Returns
ROE13.8%13.8%11.0%13.0%26.1%37.7%-3.4%-16.6%-9.0%-29.5%-36.9%-48.5%9.6%13.1%19.3%5.3%10.7%5.5%
Valuation
P/E39.8139.8135.2130.1114.16—————————————
EV/EBITDA22.8522.8515.8414.1414.78—————————————
P/B5.905.903.843.893.71—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth31.2%31.2%15.5%12.3%—25.1%-9.1%0.9%-16.9%-14.7%-20.3%-19.9%-2.0%6.4%45.2%19.9%24.7%—
EPS Growth38.1%38.1%-3.1%-45.8%—1418.2%81.0%———44.0%-460.8%-23.0%-14.3%406.9%-34.1%109.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

55.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.28

Spread vs growth

-17.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

35.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.97

Spread vs growth

2.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

22.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.40

Spread vs growth

16.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +58.4%

Total return

+58.4%

Start / end P/E

37.1x → 42.6x

EPS bridge

0.63 → 0.87

Residual

+5.6%

EPS growth+38.1%
Multiple rerating+14.7%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+5.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.