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LRCX$319.17+0.31%
Fair $319.17+0.0%

LRCX

Lam Research Corporation

Technology / Semiconductor Equipment & MaterialsNasdaqGS

$319.17

+0.99 (+0.31%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $319.17Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 65/B
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 22% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $4.7B · quality 76.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 82/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

65/100

B

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 0unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · LRCXLocal privado en este navegador · Lam Research Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$399.1B

P/E

60.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

62.8x

↑

ROE

54.3%

↑

Gross Margin

48.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.45

↑
52-Week Range$319
$79$333

TradingView lightweight chart

LRCX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $319.17Periodo +8420.7%
Fair value: $319.17

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+19.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

29.4%

FCF / Net income

1.01x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $18.44B · net income $5.36B · FCF $5.41B

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

48.7%+13.9% pts

Operating margin

32.0%+57.2% pts

Net margin

29.1%+56.1% pts

FCF margin

29.4%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$18.44B$18.44B$14.91B$17.43B$17.23B$14.63B$10.04B$9.65B—$8.01B$5.89B$5.26B$4.61B$3.60B$2.67B$3.24B$2.13B$1.12B
Net Income$5.36B$5.36B$3.83B$4.51B$4.61B$3.91B$2.25B$2.19B—$1.70B$914.0M$655.6M$632.3M$113.9M$168.7M$723.7M$346.7M$-302.1M
EBITDA$6.52B$6.52B$4.91B$5.64B$5.71B$4.79B$2.94B$2.77B—$2.21B$1.37B$1.07B$969.9M$422.2M$338.6M$879.0M$496.8M$-208.8M
EPS4.154.152.903.323.272.691.511.37—0.920.520.370.360.070.140.580.27-0.24
Gross Margin48.7%48.7%47.3%44.6%45.7%46.5%45.9%45.1%—45.0%44.5%43.4%43.6%39.0%40.7%46.2%45.5%34.8%
Operating Margin32.0%32.0%28.7%29.9%31.2%30.6%26.6%25.5%—23.7%18.3%15.0%14.7%3.3%8.9%24.8%19.9%-25.2%
Net Margin29.1%29.1%25.7%25.9%26.7%26.7%22.4%22.7%—21.2%15.5%12.5%13.7%3.2%6.3%22.4%16.2%-27.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.450.450.580.610.800.820.960.81—0.260.570.190.160.170.150.360.00—
Current Ratio2.542.54————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$5.41B$5.41B$4.26B$4.68B$2.55B—————————————
Returns
ROE54.3%54.3%44.8%54.9%73.4%64.8%43.5%46.9%—24.9%15.5%12.8%12.6%2.5%3.3%29.3%19.6%-20.8%
Valuation
P/E60.4560.4537.5118.6012.68—————————————
EV/EBITDA62.8462.8429.1014.8310.48—————————————
P/B41.7641.7616.8110.229.30—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth23.7%23.7%-14.5%1.2%—45.6%4.1%——36.1%11.9%14.2%28.0%35.0%-17.7%51.7%91.2%—
EPS Growth43.1%43.1%-12.7%1.4%—78.1%10.2%——77.0%41.1%2.2%448.5%-51.1%-76.7%113.7%212.4%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

89.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$28.32

Spread vs growth

-46.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

52.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$34.27

Spread vs growth

-9.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

29.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$55.19

Spread vs growth

13.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +295.4%

Total return

+295.4%

Start / end P/E

27.9x → 76.9x

EPS bridge

2.90 → 4.15

Residual

+75.9%

EPS growth+43.1%
Multiple rerating+176.1%
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+75.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.