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LSAK$4.86-0.61%
Fair $4.86+0.0%

LSAK

Lesaka Technologies, Inc.

Technology / Software - InfrastructureNasdaqGS

$4.86

-0.03 (-0.61%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.86Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-16.2M · quality 39.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 1unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -34.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · LSAKLocal privado en este navegador · Lesaka Technologies, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$417M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-34.4%

↓

Gross Margin

26.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.92

↑
52-Week Range$5
$4$6

TradingView lightweight chart

LSAK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.860Periodo -70.5%
Fair value: $4.860

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.6%

FCF / Net income

0.35x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $659.7M · net income $-87.5M · FCF $-30.2M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.2%— pts

Operating margin

1.2%-36.7% pts

Net margin

-13.3%-48.4% pts

FCF margin

-4.6%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$659.7M$659.7M$564.2M$528.0M$222.6M$130.8M$144.3M$160.6M$459.6M$610.1M$590.7M$626.0M$581.7M$452.1M$390.3M$343.4M$280.4M$246.8M
Net Income$-87.5M$-87.5M$-17.4M$-35.1M$-43.9M$-38.1M$-78.4M$-311.0M$62.1M$73.1M$82.5M$94.7M$70.1M$13.0M$44.7M$2.6M$39.0M$86.6M
EBITDA$-50.8M$-50.8M$29.8M$10.0M$-26.5M$-49.5M$-30.9M$-97.6M$89.3M$138.4M$154.8M$169.2M$142.1M$63.8M$97.6M$72.1M$89.2M$110.5M
EPS-1.14-1.14-0.27-0.56-0.75-0.67-1.37-5.481.091.331.712.021.500.280.990.060.841.53
Gross Margin26.2%26.2%21.5%20.9%24.4%—————————————
Operating Margin1.2%1.2%1.1%-1.6%-12.7%-41.2%-30.7%-84.0%11.7%15.9%19.4%20.5%17.5%5.1%15.7%10.9%24.9%37.9%
Net Margin-13.3%-13.3%-3.1%-6.6%-19.7%-29.1%-54.3%-193.6%13.5%12.0%14.0%15.1%12.1%2.9%11.4%0.8%13.9%35.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.920.920.650.660.680.00——0.010.010.090.110.140.200.230.34——
Current Ratio1.541.54————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-30.2M$-30.2M$15.8M$-16.2M$-41.8M$-62.7M$-52.0M$-13.9M$122.7M—————————
Returns
ROE-34.4%-34.4%-6.8%-13.5%-14.0%-13.8%-27.0%-98.0%9.7%12.2%16.7%19.8%15.9%3.9%13.0%0.8%13.6%—
Valuation
EV/EBITDA——13.4636.11——————————————
P/B1.461.461.150.870.98—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.9%16.9%6.9%137.2%—-9.4%-10.2%-65.0%-24.7%3.3%-5.6%7.6%28.6%15.9%13.6%22.5%13.6%—
EPS Growth-322.2%-322.2%51.8%25.3%—51.1%75.0%-602.8%-18.0%-22.2%-15.3%34.7%435.7%-71.7%1550.0%-92.9%-45.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +14.6%

Total return

+14.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.27 → -1.14

Residual

+14.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+14.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.