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LUPA3.SA$0.74+0.00%
Fair $0.74+0.0%

LUPA3.SA

Lupatech S.A.

Energy / Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSão Paulo

$0.74

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.74Fund rank 19/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 7/F
F-Score: 2/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.9M · quality 20.7/100

Data gap 19/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 11/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

7/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.39, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -80.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · LUPA3.SALocal privado en este navegador · Lupatech S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$35M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-80.8%

↓

Gross Margin

15.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.39

↑
52-Week Range$1
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

LUPA3.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.740Periodo -100.0%
Fair value: $0.740

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-22.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

12.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $52.1M · net income $-60.2M · FCF $6.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.6%-7.3% pts

Operating margin

-99.7%-54.4% pts

Net margin

-115.6%-165.3% pts

FCF margin

12.5%+36.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$52.1M$52.1M$123.1M$86.3M$110.4M
Net Income$-60.2M$-60.2M$-31.8M$52.6M$54.9M
EBITDA$-27.6M$-27.6M$-8.8M$83.5M$-38.1M
EPS-1.29-1.29-0.751.281.81
Gross Margin15.6%15.6%21.4%23.4%22.9%
Operating Margin-99.7%-99.7%-22.9%-55.1%-45.4%
Net Margin-115.6%-115.6%-25.8%61.0%49.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.392.391.300.910.83
Current Ratio1.031.03———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$6.5M$6.5M$-91.7M$-1.9M$-26.4M
Returns
ROE-80.8%-80.8%-23.0%33.0%29.2%
Valuation
P/E———1.682.74
EV/EBITDA———2.56—
P/B0.460.460.370.550.80
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-57.7%-57.7%42.7%-21.9%—
EPS Growth-70.9%-70.9%-158.8%-29.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -38.3%

Total return

-38.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.75 → -1.29

Residual

-38.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-38.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.