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v0.1
LVWR$1.38-4.83%
Fair $1.38+0.0%

LVWR

LiveWire Group, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto ManufacturersNYSE

$1.38

-0.07 (-4.83%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.38Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 8/F
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-96.9M · quality 62.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 45/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

8/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 6Warnings: 2unknown: 6
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -1.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · LVWRLocal privado en este navegador · LiveWire Group, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$283M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-163.2%

↓

Gross Margin

-17.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.65

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$9

TradingView lightweight chart

LVWR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.380Periodo -85.7%
Fair value: $1.380

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2020–2025 · 5 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-223.4%

FCF / Net income

0.76x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $25.7M · net income $-75.1M · FCF $-57.4M

2020-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-17.3%— pts

Operating margin

-294.0%-44.4% pts

Net margin

-292.6%-41.2% pts

FCF margin

-223.4%-38.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Income Statement
Revenue$25.7M$25.7M$26.6M$38.0M$46.8M$35.8M$30.9M
Net Income$-75.1M$-75.1M$-93.9M$-109.5M$-78.9M$-68.3M$-77.6M
EBITDA$-64.5M$-64.5M$-83.8M$-103.6M$-74.1M$-63.5M$-73.1M
EPS-0.37-0.37-0.46-0.54-0.46-0.42-0.48
Gross Margin-17.3%-17.3%-48.0%-15.2%6.2%——
Operating Margin-294.0%-294.0%-414.4%-305.0%-181.4%-190.4%-249.7%
Net Margin-292.6%-292.6%-352.7%-288.1%-168.6%-190.7%-251.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.651.650.010.010.01——
Current Ratio4.294.29—————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-57.4M$-57.4M$-101.9M$-96.9M$-103.8M$-84.5M$-57.0M
Returns
ROE-163.2%-163.2%-81.6%-53.2%-25.7%-342.7%-3834.5%
Valuation
P/B6.116.118.7411.002.92——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.6%-3.6%-30.0%-18.8%—16.0%—
EPS Growth19.6%19.6%14.8%-17.4%—12.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -63.4%

Total return

-63.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.46 → -0.37

Residual

-63.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-63.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.