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LWB.WA$21.25-0.23%
Fair $21.25+0.0%

LWB.WA

Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka S.A.

Energy / Thermal CoalWarsaw

$21.25

-0.05 (-0.23%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $21.25Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $183.6M · quality 46.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -6.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · LWB.WALocal privado en este navegador · Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$723M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

10.2x

↑

ROE

-6.3%

↓

Gross Margin

13.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$21
$18$37

TradingView lightweight chart

LWB.WA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $21.25Periodo -71.3%
Fair value: $21.25

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.7%

FCF / Net income

0.30x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.85B · net income $-160.0M · FCF $-48.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.6%-3.0% pts

Operating margin

5.1%-3.4% pts

Net margin

-5.6%-12.8% pts

FCF margin

-1.7%+0.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.85B$2.85B$3.67B$3.94B$2.45B
Net Income$-160.0M$-160.0M$-1.49B$687.0M$175.3M
EBITDA$60.1M$60.1M$-1.42B$1.32B$626.1M
EPS-4.70-4.70-43.8720.205.15
Gross Margin13.6%13.6%22.8%29.2%16.7%
Operating Margin5.1%5.1%15.8%22.5%8.5%
Net Margin-5.6%-5.6%-40.7%17.4%7.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.010.01
Current Ratio2.482.48———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-48.0M$-48.0M$183.6M$344.1M$-58.8M
Returns
ROE-6.3%-6.3%-55.4%16.0%4.7%
Valuation
P/E———1.6710.07
EV/EBITDA10.2410.24—0.342.10
P/B0.290.290.280.270.48
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-22.1%-22.1%-7.0%60.7%—
EPS Growth89.3%89.3%-317.2%292.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -9.2%

Total return

-9.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-43.87 → -4.70

Residual

-9.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-9.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.