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v0.1
LYGRD.ST$2.91+2.46%
Fair $2.91+0.0%

LYGRD.ST

Lyckegård Group AB (publ)

Industrials / Farm & Heavy Construction MachineryStockholm

$2.91

+0.07 (+2.46%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.91Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-230489.00 · quality 44.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · LYGRD.STLocal privado en este navegador · Lyckegård Group AB (publ)
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$198M

P/E

41.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.1x

↑

ROE

13.1%

↑

Gross Margin

41.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.35

↑
52-Week Range$3
$2$4

TradingView lightweight chart

LYGRD.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.910Periodo -32.8%
Fair value: $2.910

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+55.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.1%

FCF / Net income

1.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $205.4M · net income $4.9M · FCF $6.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

41.9%-2.1% pts

Operating margin

2.5%+37.5% pts

Net margin

2.4%+43.4% pts

FCF margin

3.1%+30.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$205.4M$205.4M$184.5M$165.2M$54.3M
Net Income$4.9M$4.9M$-60.8M$-44.5M$-22.3M
EBITDA$20.2M$20.2M$-41.4M$-10.1M$-12.8M
EPS0.070.07-1.05-1.02-1.02
Gross Margin41.9%41.9%37.5%43.2%44.0%
Operating Margin2.5%2.5%-11.1%-23.4%-35.1%
Net Margin2.4%2.4%-32.9%-26.9%-41.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.350.351.500.670.47
Current Ratio1.261.26———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$6.3M$6.3M$-230489.00$-3.9M$-14.7M
Returns
ROE13.1%13.1%-340.4%-78.3%-41.4%
Valuation
P/E41.5741.57———
EV/EBITDA10.0610.06———
P/B5.245.243.321.561.29
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.3%11.3%11.7%204.2%—
EPS Growth106.9%106.9%-2.7%-0.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

52.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.26

Spread vs growth

54.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

33.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.31

Spread vs growth

73.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

21.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.50

Spread vs growth

85.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +66.3%

Total return

+66.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.05 → 0.07

Residual

+66.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+66.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.