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M-CHAI-R.BK$18.70+0.00%
Fair $18.70+0.0%

M-CHAI-R.BK

Mahachai Hospital Public Company Limited

Healthcare / Medical Care FacilitiesThailand

$18.70

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $18.70Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 8/9
High DebtDeclining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $378.0M · quality 45.7/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 57/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.93, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · M-CHAI-R.BKLocal privado en este navegador · Mahachai Hospital Public Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

19.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.6x

↓

ROE

6.8%

↑

Gross Margin

20.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.93

↑
52-Week Range$19
$16$23

TradingView lightweight chart

M-CHAI-R.BK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $18.00Periodo -43.8%
Fair value: $18.70

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.7%

FCF CAGR

+35.5%

FCF margin

16.2%

FCF / Net income

6.91x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.53B · net income $152.8M · FCF $1.06B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.1%-2.9% pts

Operating margin

7.1%-3.7% pts

Net margin

2.3%-4.0% pts

FCF margin

16.2%+9.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.53B$6.53B$6.63B$6.63B$6.03B
Net Income$152.8M$152.8M$71.8M$288.9M$385.3M
EBITDA$1.21B$1.21B$1.19B$1.46B$1.38B
EPS0.950.950.451.812.41
Gross Margin20.1%20.1%19.6%23.5%23.0%
Operating Margin7.1%7.1%5.7%10.6%10.7%
Net Margin2.3%2.3%1.1%4.4%6.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.932.933.303.333.34
Current Ratio0.500.50———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.06B$1.06B$378.0M$179.1M$424.2M
Returns
ROE6.8%6.8%3.2%13.0%17.4%
Valuation
P/E19.2819.2859.4445.0912.90
EV/EBITDA7.577.579.6313.828.79
P/B1.341.341.925.852.25
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.6%-1.6%-0.0%9.9%—
EPS Growth111.1%111.1%-75.1%-24.9%—
Dividend Yield2.2%2.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

20.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.66

Spread vs growth

90.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

16.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.01

Spread vs growth

95.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.23

Spread vs growth

98.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -12.5%

Total return

-12.5%

Start / end P/E

46.9x → 18.9x

EPS bridge

0.45 → 0.95

Residual

-66.2%

EPS growth+111.1%
Multiple rerating-59.6%
Dividend+2.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-66.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.