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MAIDEN.BO$78.00-3.70%
Fair $78.00+0.0%

MAIDEN.BO

Maiden Forgings Limited

Industrials / Metal FabricationBSE

$78.00

-3.00 (-3.70%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $78.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-47.5M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 11/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · MAIDEN.BOLocal privado en este navegador · Maiden Forgings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.1B

P/E

27.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.1x

↓

ROE

7.9%

↑

Gross Margin

11.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.91

↑
52-Week Range$78
$64$97

TradingView lightweight chart

MAIDEN.BO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $78.00Periodo +0.2%
Fair value: $78.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.79x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.13B · net income $60.5M · FCF $-47.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.8%+0.4% pts

Operating margin

7.1%+3.0% pts

Net margin

2.8%+1.8% pts

FCF margin

-2.2%-2.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.13B$2.13B$2.36B$2.21B$2.11B
Net Income$60.5M$60.5M$97.2M$96.1M$21.9M
EBITDA$195.2M$195.2M$240.8M$223.1M$123.8M
EPS4.264.266.846.761.54
Gross Margin11.8%11.8%12.5%12.8%11.4%
Operating Margin7.1%7.1%7.9%8.4%4.1%
Net Margin2.8%2.8%4.1%4.3%1.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.910.910.881.662.23
Current Ratio2.002.00———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-47.5M$-47.5M$-193.6M$32.6M$2.2M
Returns
ROE7.9%7.9%13.7%23.6%7.0%
Valuation
P/E26.9926.99———
EV/EBITDA9.099.09———
P/B1.451.45———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-9.8%-9.8%6.9%4.9%—
EPS Growth-37.7%-37.7%1.2%338.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

17.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.92

Spread vs growth

-55.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

14.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$8.37

Spread vs growth

-52.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$13.49

Spread vs growth

-49.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +6.6%

Total return

+6.6%

Start / end P/E

10.7x → 18.3x

EPS bridge

6.84 → 4.26

Residual

-26.9%

EPS growth-37.7%
Multiple rerating+71.2%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-26.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.