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MATI-R.BK$3.08+0.00%
Fair $3.08+0.0%

MATI-R.BK

Matichon Public Company Limited

Communication Services / PublishingThailand

$3.08

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.08Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 18/F
F-Score: 1/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-47.8M · quality 54.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

18/100

F

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -7.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · MATI-R.BKLocal privado en este navegador · Matichon Public Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$571M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-7.9%

↓

Gross Margin

13.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$3
$3$5

TradingView lightweight chart

MATI-R.BK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.280Periodo -59.3%
Fair value: $3.080

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-12.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-30.2%

FCF / Net income

1.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $464.2M · net income $-109.8M · FCF $-140.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.4%-24.7% pts

Operating margin

-21.1%-33.5% pts

Net margin

-23.7%-33.8% pts

FCF margin

-30.2%-39.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$464.2M$464.2M$590.4M$702.0M$683.5M
Net Income$-109.8M$-109.8M$-33.4M$30.6M$69.5M
EBITDA$-70.5M$-70.5M$-6.1M$65.0M$115.0M
EPS-0.59-0.59-0.180.160.37
Gross Margin13.4%13.4%21.9%32.1%38.1%
Operating Margin-21.1%-21.1%-5.3%5.8%12.4%
Net Margin-23.7%-23.7%-5.7%4.4%10.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.010.00
Current Ratio11.1911.19———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-140.2M$-140.2M$-47.8M$-17.5M$61.2M
Returns
ROE-7.9%-7.9%-2.3%2.0%4.4%
Valuation
P/E———50.6322.84
EV/EBITDA———22.0613.09
P/B0.410.411.030.971.00
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-21.4%-21.4%-15.9%2.7%—
EPS Growth-227.8%-227.8%-212.5%-56.8%—
Dividend Yield3.0%3.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -29.4%

Total return

-29.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.18 → -0.59

Residual

-32.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-32.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.