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MCA.AX$0.16-3.03%
Fair $0.16+0.0%

MCA.AX

Murray Cod Australia Limited

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsASX

$0.16

-0.01 (-3.03%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.16Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-26.0M · quality 72.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 42/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 5Warnings: 0unknown: 5
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · MCA.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Murray Cod Australia Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$40M

P/E

8.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.2x

↓

ROE

8.5%

↑

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.37

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

MCA.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.160Periodo -90.6%
Fair value: $0.160

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2025 · 4 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

—

FCF / Net income

-3.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue — · net income $8.6M · FCF $-26.0M

2021-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

—— pts

FCF margin

—— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue——$10.2M$10.9M$12.6M$9.1M
Net Income$8.6M$8.6M$-6.2M$-7.3M$-8.7M—
EBITDA$18.6M$18.6M$-2.6M$-6.6M$-6.8M$-1.8M
EPS0.060.06-0.06-0.07-0.10—
Gross Margin——134.6%86.1%50.2%—
Operating Margin——-72.9%-86.5%-67.4%—
Net Margin——-60.9%-67.2%-69.7%—
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.370.370.340.180.10—
Current Ratio7.637.63————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-26.0M$-26.0M$-27.0M$-15.5M$-12.5M—
Returns
ROE8.5%8.5%-6.8%-10.3%-11.5%—
Valuation
P/E8.008.00————
EV/EBITDA3.193.19————
P/B0.220.221.371.782.48—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth——-6.0%-13.4%37.9%—
EPS Growth197.6%197.6%10.1%27.9%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-38.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.01

Spread vs growth

235.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-22.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.02

Spread vs growth

219.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-7.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

205.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -83.7%

Total return

-83.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.06 → 0.06

Residual

-83.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-83.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.