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MCHN.SW$4.40-0.23%
Fair $4.40+0.0%

MCHN.SW

MCH Group AG

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesSwiss

$4.40

-0.01 (-0.23%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.40Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $13.7M · quality 35.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · MCHN.SWLocal privado en este navegador · MCH Group AG
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$136M

P/E

7.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.8x

↓

ROE

16.9%

↑

Gross Margin

93.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.14

↑
52-Week Range$4
$3$5

TradingView lightweight chart

MCHN.SW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.400Periodo -84.0%
Fair value: $4.400

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.6%

FCF / Net income

1.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $386.2M · net income $18.6M · FCF $21.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

93.1%+3.3% pts

Operating margin

4.4%+10.8% pts

Net margin

4.8%+7.3% pts

FCF margin

5.6%+14.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$386.2M$386.2M$418.0M$372.9M$366.5M
Net Income$18.6M$18.6M$3.0M$-12.8M$-9.0M
EBITDA$45.9M$45.9M$33.7M$13.6M$8.2M
EPS0.600.600.10-0.41-0.49
Gross Margin93.1%93.1%90.1%91.8%89.8%
Operating Margin4.4%4.4%2.0%-3.3%-6.4%
Net Margin4.8%4.8%0.7%-3.4%-2.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.141.141.291.402.17
Current Ratio1.251.25———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$21.6M$21.6M$-7.5M$13.7M$-34.1M
Returns
ROE16.9%16.9%3.0%-13.6%-8.3%
Valuation
P/E7.337.3340.00——
EV/EBITDA3.753.755.7313.9721.21
P/B1.241.241.241.320.82
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.6%-7.6%12.1%1.8%—
EPS Growth500.0%500.0%124.4%16.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-13.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.39

Spread vs growth

513.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.47

Spread vs growth

504.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

2.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.76

Spread vs growth

497.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +18.6%

Total return

+18.6%

Start / end P/E

37.1x → 7.3x

EPS bridge

0.10 → 0.60

Residual

-401.2%

EPS growth+500.0%
Multiple rerating-80.2%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-401.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.