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MCK.NZ$3.35+0.00%
Fair $3.35+0.0%

MCK.NZ

Millennium & Copthorne Hotels New Zealand Limited

Consumer Cyclical / LodgingNZSE

$3.35

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.35Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-14.8M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · MCK.NZLocal privado en este navegador · Millennium & Copthorne Hotels New Zealand Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$530M

P/E

25.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.8x

↑

ROE

3.6%

↓

Gross Margin

53.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$3
$3$4

TradingView lightweight chart

MCK.NZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.350Periodo +1253.7%
Fair value: $3.350

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-14.2%

FCF / Net income

-1.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $186.7M · net income $20.2M · FCF $-26.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

53.0%-5.6% pts

Operating margin

10.7%-13.5% pts

Net margin

10.8%-4.2% pts

FCF margin

-14.2%-27.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$186.7M$186.7M$176.2M$145.7M$144.2M
Net Income$20.2M$20.2M$2.8M$21.6M$21.7M
EBITDA$47.0M$47.0M$58.0M$48.6M$55.4M
EPS——0.020.140.14
Gross Margin53.0%53.0%55.5%53.4%58.6%
Operating Margin10.7%10.7%19.2%15.8%24.2%
Net Margin10.8%10.8%1.6%14.8%15.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.050.060.04
Current Ratio3.663.66———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-26.5M$-26.5M$-14.8M$5.8M$19.2M
Returns
ROE3.6%3.6%0.5%3.0%3.2%
Valuation
P/E25.7725.7797.1413.8514.07
EV/EBITDA11.7611.764.455.452.85
P/B0.930.930.490.420.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.0%6.0%21.0%1.0%—
EPS Growth——-87.2%-0.5%—
Dividend Yield0.9%0.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +19.3%

Total return

+19.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.02 → n/d

Residual

+18.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+18.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.