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MDIA3.SA$19.18-1.08%
Fair $19.18+0.0%

MDIA3.SA

M. Dias Branco S.A. Indústria e Comércio de Alimentos

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsSão Paulo

$19.18

-0.21 (-1.08%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $19.18Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.1B · quality 60.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 39/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · MDIA3.SALocal privado en este navegador · M. Dias Branco S.A. Indústria e Comércio de Alimentos
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.4B

P/E

9.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.6x

↓

ROE

8.0%

↑

Gross Margin

27.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.17

↓
52-Week Range$19
$19$30

TradingView lightweight chart

MDIA3.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $19.18Periodo +173.3%
Fair value: $19.18

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

10.8%

FCF / Net income

1.72x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $10.44B · net income $659.8M · FCF $1.13B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.7%+4.9% pts

Operating margin

6.8%+1.1% pts

Net margin

6.3%+1.6% pts

FCF margin

10.8%+11.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$10.44B$10.44B$9.66B$10.84B$10.13B
Net Income$659.8M$659.8M$645.9M$888.7M$481.8M
EBITDA$1.30B$1.30B$1.38B$1.49B$836.3M
EPS1.951.951.912.621.42
Gross Margin27.7%27.7%29.9%28.5%22.8%
Operating Margin6.8%6.8%8.9%9.8%5.7%
Net Margin6.3%6.3%6.7%8.2%4.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.170.170.310.290.33
Current Ratio2.652.65———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.13B$1.13B$313.5M$1.86B$-70.5M
Returns
ROE8.0%8.0%8.1%11.7%7.2%
Valuation
P/E9.319.3110.2814.0523.59
EV/EBITDA4.634.635.048.3815.45
P/B0.790.790.831.641.69
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.0%8.0%-10.9%7.0%—
EPS Growth2.1%2.1%-27.3%84.4%—
Dividend Yield1.9%1.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.70

Spread vs growth

6.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

1.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.06

Spread vs growth

1.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.32

Spread vs growth

-3.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -18.5%

Total return

-18.5%

Start / end P/E

12.6x → 9.9x

EPS bridge

1.91 → 1.95

Residual

-0.5%

EPS growth+2.1%
Multiple rerating-22.1%
Dividend+1.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.