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v0.1
MDV$18.08+1.01%
Fair $18.08+0.0%

MDV

Modiv Industrial, Inc.

Real Estate / REIT - IndustrialNYSE

$18.08

+0.18 (+1.01%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $18.08Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 81/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 11Warnings: 2unknown: 11
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 0.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · MDVLocal privado en este navegador · Modiv Industrial, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$187M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

14.0x

↑

ROE

0.7%

↓

Gross Margin

92.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.61

↑
52-Week Range$18
$14$19

TradingView lightweight chart

MDV price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $17.90Periodo -71.5%
Fair value: $18.08

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2015–2025 · 10 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

32.3%

FCF / Net income

14.01x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $46.4M · net income $1.1M · FCF $15.0M

2015-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

92.5%— pts

Operating margin

41.2%— pts

Net margin

2.3%— pts

FCF margin

32.3%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Income Statement
Revenue$46.4M$46.4M$46.8M$47.2M$43.8M———$18.0M$7.4M$861744.00—
Net Income$1.1M$1.1M$6.0M$-6.6M$-3.3M$-435505.00$-49.1M$-4.4M$-1.8M$-868484.00$-1.2M—
EBITDA$32.8M$32.8M$42.5M$24.4M$18.0M$13.7M$-31.1M$5.1M————
EPS-0.31-0.310.25-1.36-0.93-0.18-5.67—————
Gross Margin92.5%92.5%92.3%89.1%85.1%———————
Operating Margin41.2%41.2%39.8%18.4%27.7%———————
Net Margin2.3%2.3%12.9%-14.0%-7.5%———-10.0%-11.8%-143.6%—
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.611.611.471.941.220.931.381.091.280.910.78—
Current Ratio8.728.72——————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$15.0M$15.0M$18.2M$16.6M$16.6M———————
Returns
ROE0.7%0.7%3.2%-4.6%-2.1%-0.3%-37.1%-2.3%-1.7%-1.1%-5.6%—
Valuation
P/E——59.52—————————
EV/EBITDA13.9813.9810.2415.6314.72———————
P/B1.301.300.880.720.49———————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.8%-0.8%-1.0%7.8%————143.4%757.6%——
EPS Growth-224.0%-224.0%118.4%-46.2%—96.7%——————
Dividend Yield6.7%6.7%——————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +33.5%

Total return

+33.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.25 → -0.31

Residual

+26.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+6.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+26.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.