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v0.1
MEG$22.14+1.87%
Fair $22.14+0.0%

MEG

Onterris, Inc.

Industrials / Waste ManagementNYSE

$22.14

+0.30 (+1.87%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $22.14Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 20/D
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $23.1M · quality 36.3/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

20/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -0.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · MEGLocal privado en este navegador · Onterris, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$801M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

13.8x

↑

ROE

-0.2%

↓

Gross Margin

40.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.80

↑
52-Week Range$22
$14$32

TradingView lightweight chart

MEG price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.31Periodo -25.9%
Fair value: $22.14

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+15.1%

FCF CAGR

+105.2%

FCF margin

10.9%

FCF / Net income

-107.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $830.5M · net income $-843000.0 · FCF $90.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

40.3%+4.9% pts

Operating margin

1.5%+7.3% pts

Net margin

-0.1%+5.7% pts

FCF margin

10.9%+9.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$830.5M$830.5M$696.4M$624.2M$544.4M
Net Income$-843000.00$-843000.00$-62.3M$-30.9M$-31.8M
EBITDA$81.7M$81.7M$14.3M$21.7M$23.1M
EPS-0.14-0.14-2.22-1.57-1.62
Gross Margin40.3%40.3%39.9%38.5%35.4%
Operating Margin1.5%1.5%-5.2%-4.5%-5.7%
Net Margin-0.1%-0.1%-8.9%-4.9%-5.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.800.800.630.650.65
Current Ratio1.431.43———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$90.5M$90.5M$-1.6M$23.1M$10.5M
Returns
ROE-0.2%-0.2%-14.0%-9.6%-10.2%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA13.7713.7763.1148.2264.52
P/B1.721.721.422.684.41
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth19.3%19.3%11.6%14.7%—
EPS Growth93.7%93.7%-41.4%3.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -16.5%

Total return

-16.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-2.22 → -0.14

Residual

-16.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-16.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.