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MELI$1730.98+2.08%
Fair $1730.98+0.0%

MELI

MercadoLibre, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Internet RetailNasdaqGS

$1730.98

+35.33 (+2.08%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1730.98Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $7.1B · quality 58.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 75/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 18Warnings: 0unknown: 18
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · MELILocal privado en este navegador · MercadoLibre, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$87.8B

P/E

45.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

25.0x

↑

ROE

29.6%

↑

Gross Margin

44.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.69

↑
52-Week Range$1731
$1495$2645

TradingView lightweight chart

MELI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,731Periodo +5973.6%
Fair value: $1,731

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2008–2025 · 17 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

+37.0%

FCF margin

37.3%

FCF / Net income

5.39x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $28.89B · net income $2.00B · FCF $10.77B

2008-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

44.5%— pts

Operating margin

11.1%— pts

Net margin

6.9%— pts

FCF margin

37.3%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Income Statement
Revenue$28.89B$28.89B$20.78B$15.11B$10.78B$5.71B$3.97B$2.30B$1.44B$1.22B$844.4M————————
Net Income$2.00B$2.00B$1.91B$987.0M$482.0M$83.0M$-1.0M$-172.0M$-36.6M$13.8M$136.4M$105.8M$72.6M$117.5M$101.2M$76.8M$56.0M$33.2M$18.8M
EBITDA$3.82B$3.82B$3.21B$2.25B$1.32B$645.0M$233.0M$-79.8M$-23.7M$97.2M$210.1M$162.4M$137.4M$165.4M$138.6M$107.0M$79.5M$59.9M$40.9M
EPS39.4039.4037.6919.469.531.67-0.08-3.71-0.820.313.092.401.632.662.301.731.270.750.42
Gross Margin44.5%44.5%46.1%50.2%48.2%52.6%43.0%48.0%48.4%59.2%63.6%————————
Operating Margin11.1%11.1%12.7%14.6%9.9%7.7%3.2%-6.7%-4.8%4.6%21.4%————————
Net Margin6.9%6.9%9.2%6.5%4.5%1.5%-0.0%-7.5%-2.5%1.1%16.1%————————
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.691.691.571.742.962.30—————————————
Current Ratio1.161.16—————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$10.77B$10.77B$7.06B$4.63B$2.48B$392.0M$935.0M$314.3M$137.8M$213.9M$121.7M$182.2M—$28.8M$123.1M$70.5M$54.7M$45.9M$50.9M
Returns
ROE29.6%29.6%43.9%32.1%26.4%5.4%-0.1%-8.7%-10.9%4.2%31.8%31.2%20.4%34.2%34.9%35.0%32.6%29.1%20.1%
Valuation
P/E45.7845.7848.6679.0891.65——————————————
EV/EBITDA24.9924.9930.2436.1036.68——————————————
P/B13.0013.0021.3725.5624.54——————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth39.1%39.1%37.5%40.1%—43.7%73.1%59.5%18.3%44.1%—————————
EPS Growth4.5%4.5%93.7%104.2%—2187.5%97.8%-352.4%-364.5%-90.0%28.7%47.2%-38.7%15.7%32.9%36.2%69.3%78.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

57.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$153.60

Spread vs growth

-52.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

36.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$185.85

Spread vs growth

-31.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

22.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$299.31

Spread vs growth

-17.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -32.5%

Total return

-32.5%

Start / end P/E

68.0x → 43.9x

EPS bridge

37.69 → 39.40

Residual

-1.6%

EPS growth+4.5%
Multiple rerating-35.4%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.