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MERKO.IS$2.04+0.00%
Fair $2.04+0.0%

MERKO.IS

Merko Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsIstanbul

$2.04

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.04Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $4.2M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · MERKO.ISLocal privado en este navegador · Merko Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.7B

P/E

3.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.9x

↓

ROE

8.3%

↑

Gross Margin

41.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.22

↓
52-Week Range$2
$2$19

TradingView lightweight chart

MERKO.IS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.040Periodo +7.4%
Fair value: $2.040

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+184.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

17.8%

FCF / Net income

2.15x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.40B · net income $115.8M · FCF $248.8M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

41.6%+21.1% pts

Operating margin

29.8%+19.4% pts

Net margin

8.3%-1.2% pts

FCF margin

17.8%+85.7% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$1.40B$1.40B$1.67B$114.9M$60.8M
Net Income$115.8M$115.8M$-433.5M$1.9M$5.8M
EBITDA$568.8M$568.8M$-331.8M$12.5M$14.3M
EPS0.170.17-0.680.00—
Gross Margin41.6%41.6%25.9%29.0%20.5%
Operating Margin29.8%29.8%14.6%9.5%10.3%
Net Margin8.3%8.3%-25.9%1.7%9.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.220.220.580.130.04
Current Ratio0.880.88———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$248.8M$248.8M$-361.4M$4.2M$-41.2M
Returns
ROE8.3%8.3%-86.1%0.8%4.0%
Valuation
P/E3.713.71—948.91—
EV/EBITDA2.932.93—146.47—
P/B1.011.017.667.38—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-16.5%-16.5%1355.8%89.1%—
EPS Growth124.6%124.6%-19248.6%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

2.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.18

Spread vs growth

122.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

5.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.22

Spread vs growth

119.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.35

Spread vs growth

117.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -85.0%

Total return

-85.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.68 → 0.17

Residual

-85.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-85.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.