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v0.1
META$609.40-3.65%
Fair $584.66-4.1%

META

Meta Platforms, Inc.

Communication Services / Internet Content & InformationNasdaqGS

$609.40

-23.11 (-3.65%)

Fairly Valued-4.1%Fair Value $584.66Fund rank 72/100 · Buy candidateSEC 16/16 yrs|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

$596.89

-0.7% CAGR · yield 5.0%

FCF base 5Y

$831.12

+6.4% base · +8.4% expected

Precio de entrada

$390.06

MOS 17% · confianza 90%

FCF escenarios

audited · normalized FCF $46.1B · quality 78.3/100

Buy candidate 72/100
Bear 5Y$428.63-6.8%
Base 5Y$831.12+6.4%
Bull 5Y$1551.65+20.6%
Return 70/100Downside 64/100Model quality 80/100Data QA 100/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

46/100

-4.1% upside

5Y CAGR

+8.4%

83/100

Data QA

100/100

SEC 100%

Latest source: sec-companyfactsPeriods: 16Warnings: 0sec-companyfacts: 16
Thesis & Journal · METALocal privado en este navegador · Meta Platforms, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.55T

P/E

27.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

15.3x

↑

ROE

27.8%

↑

Gross Margin

82.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.27

↑
52-Week Range$609
$520$796
EV/EBITDA Historical15.3x

TradingView lightweight chart

META price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $609.40Periodo +1494.0%
Buy zone: $390.06Bear 5Y: $428.63Fair value: $584.66Base 5Y: $831.12Bull 5Y: $1,552

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2010–2025 · 15 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+36.1%

FCF CAGR

+37.1%

FCF margin

22.9%

FCF / Net income

0.76x

Latest source

SEC-backed

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $200.97B · net income $60.46B · FCF $46.11B

2010-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

82.0%— pts

Operating margin

41.4%-10.8% pts

Net margin

30.1%-0.6% pts

FCF margin

22.9%+2.4% pts
SEC-backed annual metrics active for 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010. Local SEC Companyfacts override Yahoo/FMP for audited annual line items; provider-only fields remain as fallback.
MetricTTM
2025SEC
2024SEC
2023SEC
2022SEC
2021SEC
2020SEC
2019SEC
2018SEC
2017SEC
2016SEC
2015SEC
2014SEC
2013SEC
2012SEC
2011SEC
2010SEC
Income Statement
Revenue$200.97B$200.97B$164.50B$134.90B$116.61B$117.93B$85.97B$70.70B$55.84B$40.65B$27.64B$17.93B$12.47B$7.87B$5.09B$3.71B$1.97B
Net Income$60.46B$60.46B$62.36B$39.10B$23.20B$39.37B$29.15B$18.48B$22.11B$15.93B$10.22B$3.69B$2.94B$1.50B$53.0M$1.00B$606.0M
EBITDA$105.71B$105.71B$86.88B$59.05B$37.69B$54.72B$39.53B$29.73B$29.23B$23.23B$14.77B$8.17B$6.24B$3.81B$1.19B$2.08B$1.17B
EPS23.4923.4923.8614.878.5913.7710.096.437.575.393.491.291.100.600.010.460.28
Gross Margin82.0%82.0%81.7%80.8%78.3%————————————
Operating Margin41.4%41.4%42.2%34.7%24.8%39.6%38.0%33.9%44.6%49.7%45.0%34.7%40.1%35.6%10.6%47.3%52.3%
Net Margin30.1%30.1%37.9%29.0%19.9%33.4%33.9%26.1%39.6%39.2%37.0%20.6%23.6%19.1%1.0%26.9%30.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.270.270.160.120.080.00———————0.000.130.00—
Current Ratio2.352.35———————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$46.11B$46.11B$54.07B$44.07B$19.29B$38.99B$23.58B$21.21B$15.36B$17.48B$11.62B$7.80B$5.50B$2.86B$377.0M$943.0M$405.0M
Returns
ROE27.8%27.8%34.1%25.5%18.5%31.5%22.7%18.3%26.3%21.4%17.3%8.3%8.1%9.7%0.5%20.4%—
Valuation
P/E27.2227.2226.8043.0174.4546.4463.3899.4684.48118.65183.24495.74581.361065.8363950.001390.222283.93
EV/EBITDA15.2915.2918.2515.599.64————————————
P/B7.587.589.1510.9813.7514.6414.4018.2022.2025.4331.6041.2647.20104.05117.84196.85—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth22.2%22.2%21.9%15.7%-1.1%37.2%21.6%26.6%37.4%47.1%54.2%43.8%58.4%54.7%37.1%88.0%—
EPS Growth-1.6%-1.6%60.5%73.1%-37.6%36.5%56.9%-15.1%40.4%54.4%170.5%17.3%83.3%5900.0%-97.8%64.3%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growth
terminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

32.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$54.07

Spread vs growth

-33.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

22.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$65.43

Spread vs growth

-24.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

16.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$105.38

Spread vs growth

-17.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -5.6%

Total return

-5.6%

Start / end P/E

27.1x → 25.9x

EPS bridge

23.86 → 23.49

Residual

+0.1%

EPS growth-1.6%
Multiple rerating-4.4%
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.

9.6x18.3x
EV/EBITDA vs Sector15.3x
3.9xmed 7.7x22.9x