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MEX.WA$3.69-2.38%
Fair $3.69+0.0%

MEX.WA

Mex Polska S.A.

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsWarsaw

$3.69

-0.09 (-2.38%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.69Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 3/9
High DebtMargin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $11.3M · quality 53.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 86/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 3.21, above the 2.0 threshold Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · MEX.WALocal privado en este navegador · Mex Polska S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$28M

P/E

369.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

4.4x

↓

ROE

15.6%

↑

Gross Margin

14.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

3.21

↑
52-Week Range$4
$3$6

TradingView lightweight chart

MEX.WA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.690Periodo -63.3%
Fair value: $3.690

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+31.3%

FCF CAGR

+11.7%

FCF margin

8.9%

FCF / Net income

3.92x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $106.9M · net income $2.4M · FCF $9.5M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

14.5%+1.6% pts

Operating margin

4.6%-6.1% pts

Net margin

2.3%-10.8% pts

FCF margin

8.9%-5.6% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$106.9M$106.9M$95.4M$81.8M$47.2M
Net Income$2.4M$2.4M$3.9M$5.8M$6.2M
EBITDA$16.3M$16.3M$15.4M$17.9M$15.7M
EPS0.320.320.500.760.70
Gross Margin14.5%14.5%15.8%16.3%12.9%
Operating Margin4.6%4.6%5.7%9.7%10.6%
Net Margin2.3%2.3%4.0%7.1%13.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity3.213.212.523.226.13
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$9.5M$9.5M$11.3M$12.0M$6.8M
Returns
ROE15.6%15.6%25.3%45.9%77.6%
Valuation
P/E369.00369.008.003.423.43
EV/EBITDA4.404.403.982.963.97
P/B1.821.822.011.582.66
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.0%12.0%16.6%73.4%—
EPS Growth-36.0%-36.0%-34.2%8.6%—
Dividend Yield1.6%1.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

0.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.33

Spread vs growth

-36.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

4.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.40

Spread vs growth

-40.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.64

Spread vs growth

-43.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.1%

Total return

+4.1%

Start / end P/E

7.2x → 11.5x

EPS bridge

0.50 → 0.32

Residual

-21.7%

EPS growth-36.0%
Multiple rerating+60.2%
Dividend+1.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-21.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.