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MG$17.46-0.68%
Fair $17.46+0.0%

MG

Mistras Group, Inc.

Industrials / Security & Protection ServicesNYSE

$17.46

-0.12 (-0.68%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $17.46Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.8M · quality 57.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 55/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 16Warnings: 0unknown: 16
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · MGLocal privado en este navegador · Mistras Group, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$556M

P/E

24.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.9x

↑

ROE

7.2%

↑

Gross Margin

28.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.91

↑
52-Week Range$17
$7$20

TradingView lightweight chart

MG price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $17.46Periodo +38.8%
Fair value: $17.46

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2010–2025 · 15 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

0.5%

FCF / Net income

0.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $724.0M · net income $16.8M · FCF $3.8M

2010-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.2%-2.3% pts

Operating margin

7.4%-0.3% pts

Net margin

2.3%-1.5% pts

FCF margin

0.5%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Income Statement
Revenue$724.0M$724.0M$729.6M$705.5M$687.4M$677.1M$592.6M$748.6M$742.4M$701.0M$684.8M$711.3M$623.4M$529.3M$436.9M$338.6M$272.1M
Net Income$16.8M$16.8M$19.0M$-17.5M$6.5M$3.9M$-99.5M$6.1M$6.8M$-2.2M$14.4M$16.1M$22.5M$11.6M$21.4M$16.4M$10.4M
EBITDA$68.1M$68.1M$74.3M$32.2M$53.1M$53.1M$-65.5M$62.7M$56.6M$35.5M$36.2M$63.6M$66.7M$54.2M$58.1M$48.2M$36.1M
EPS0.530.530.60-0.580.210.13-3.410.210.23-0.08—0.54—————
Gross Margin28.2%28.2%26.3%26.1%28.8%29.1%30.1%29.0%28.0%26.8%28.4%26.0%27.7%28.0%29.7%30.5%30.6%
Operating Margin7.4%7.4%6.1%3.6%2.8%2.7%-17.1%3.2%3.0%0.6%3.7%4.3%6.1%5.2%8.3%8.7%7.7%
Net Margin2.3%2.3%2.6%-2.5%0.9%0.6%-16.8%0.8%0.9%-0.3%2.1%2.3%3.6%2.2%4.9%4.9%3.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.910.911.011.141.090.911.060.871.050.610.320.390.280.250.180.09—
Current Ratio1.801.80———————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$3.8M$3.8M$27.1M$3.1M$13.0M$24.1M$52.4M$37.1M$21.1M$36.5M———————
Returns
ROE7.2%7.2%9.5%-9.2%3.3%1.9%-50.5%2.1%2.5%-0.8%5.3%6.6%9.3%5.5%11.1%9.8%—
Valuation
P/E24.9424.9415.17—23.86————————————
EV/EBITDA10.9310.936.3313.566.53————————————
P/B2.382.381.451.240.76————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.8%-0.8%3.4%2.6%—14.3%-20.8%0.8%5.9%2.4%-3.7%14.1%17.8%21.2%29.0%24.4%—
EPS Growth-11.7%-11.7%203.4%-376.2%—103.8%-1723.8%-8.7%387.5%————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

43.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.55

Spread vs growth

-54.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

28.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.87

Spread vs growth

-40.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.02

Spread vs growth

-30.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +131.3%

Total return

+131.3%

Start / end P/E

12.6x → 32.9x

EPS bridge

0.60 → 0.53

Residual

-18.9%

EPS growth-11.7%
Multiple rerating+161.8%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-18.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.