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MGIH$1.48+2.07%
Fair $1.48+0.0%

MGIH

Millennium Group International Holdings Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersNasdaqCM

$1.48

+0.03 (+2.07%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.48Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 19/F
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.5M · quality 49.7/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

19/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -28.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · MGIHLocal privado en este navegador · Millennium Group International Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$17M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-28.2%

↓

Gross Margin

21.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.20

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$5

TradingView lightweight chart

MGIH price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.480Periodo -53.9%
Fair value: $1.480

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-15.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-16.9%

FCF / Net income

0.74x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $38.5M · net income $-8.8M · FCF $-6.5M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

21.6%-5.3% pts

Operating margin

-18.0%-25.9% pts

Net margin

-22.8%-28.4% pts

FCF margin

-16.9%-23.3% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$38.5M$38.5M$45.6M$66.2M$64.6M
Net Income$-8.8M$-8.8M$-354111.00$4.1M$3.7M
EBITDA$-6.2M$-6.2M$2.0M$7.3M$7.0M
EPS-0.78-0.78-0.030.410.37
Gross Margin21.6%21.6%19.9%24.6%26.9%
Operating Margin-18.0%-18.0%-2.4%8.4%7.9%
Net Margin-22.8%-22.8%-0.8%6.2%5.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.200.200.340.420.67
Current Ratio1.871.87———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-6.5M$-6.5M$7.9M$1.5M$4.1M
Returns
ROE-28.2%-28.2%-0.9%10.2%12.0%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA——3.68——
P/B0.540.540.53——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.5%-15.5%-31.2%2.6%—
EPS Growth-2500.0%-2500.0%-107.3%11.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -0.7%

Total return

-0.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.03 → -0.78

Residual

-0.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.