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MGM$50.77+16.19%
Fair $50.77+0.0%

MGM

MGM Resorts International

Consumer Cyclical / Resorts & CasinosNYSE

$50.77

+7.07 (+16.19%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $50.77Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 4/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.5B · quality 54.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 85/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 18Warnings: 1unknown: 18
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 12.91, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · MGMLocal privado en este navegador · MGM Resorts International
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$13.0B

P/E

69.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

25.3x

↑

ROE

8.5%

↑

Gross Margin

44.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

12.91

↑
52-Week Range$51
$29$52

TradingView lightweight chart

MGM price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $50.74Periodo +329.5%
Fair value: $50.77

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2008–2025 · 17 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

8.3%

FCF / Net income

7.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $17.54B · net income $205.9M · FCF $1.46B

2008-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

44.4%— pts

Operating margin

7.6%+9.4% pts

Net margin

1.2%+13.0% pts

FCF margin

8.3%+8.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Income Statement
Revenue$17.54B$17.54B$17.24B$16.16B$13.13B$9.68B$5.16B$12.90B$11.76B$10.80B$9.48B$9.19B$10.08B$9.81B$9.16B$7.85B$6.06B$6.01B$7.21B
Net Income$205.9M$205.9M$746.6M$1.14B$1.47B$1.25B$-1.03B$2.05B$466.8M$1.95B$1.10B$-447.7M$-149.9M$-171.7M$-1.77B$3.11B$-1.44B$-1.29B$-855.3M
EBITDA$1.72B$1.72B$2.39B$2.75B$4.98B$3.43B$568.1M$5.24B$2.65B$2.71B$2.93B$663.7M$2.14B$1.99B$1.05B$4.87B$-525.5M$-274.6M$648.6M
EPS0.760.762.403.193.492.41-2.023.880.813.341.92-0.82-0.31-0.35-3.625.62-3.19-3.41-3.06
Gross Margin44.4%44.4%45.5%47.1%49.3%——————————————
Operating Margin7.6%7.6%9.7%9.8%-13.1%23.5%-12.4%30.5%12.5%15.9%21.9%-1.7%13.1%11.6%1.3%51.7%-19.1%-16.0%-1.8%
Net Margin1.2%1.2%4.3%7.1%11.2%13.0%-20.0%15.9%4.0%18.1%11.6%-4.9%-1.5%-1.8%-19.3%39.7%-23.7%-21.5%-11.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity12.9112.9110.458.287.041.941.901.452.321.682.092.423.133.193.112.214.113.35—
Current Ratio1.331.33—————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.46B$1.46B$1.21B$1.76B$991.4M$882.7M$-1.76B$1.07B$235.7M$342.3M$-728.5M—————$296.5M$451.1M$-28.7M
Returns
ROE8.5%8.5%24.7%30.0%30.5%20.7%-15.9%26.5%7.2%25.8%17.7%-8.7%-3.7%-4.1%-40.5%51.2%-49.0%-33.4%-21.5%
Valuation
P/E69.5969.5914.2014.0510.66——————————————
EV/EBITDA25.2725.2716.6316.278.72——————————————
P/B5.805.803.504.223.18——————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.7%1.7%6.7%23.1%—87.5%-60.0%9.7%8.9%13.9%3.1%-8.8%2.8%7.1%16.7%29.6%0.8%-16.6%—
EPS Growth-68.3%-68.3%-24.8%-8.6%—219.3%-152.1%379.0%-75.7%74.0%334.1%-164.5%11.4%90.3%-164.4%276.2%6.5%-11.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

81.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.50

Spread vs growth

-149.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

48.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.45

Spread vs growth

-116.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

27.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$8.78

Spread vs growth

-96.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +60.3%

Total return

+60.3%

Start / end P/E

13.2x → 66.8x

EPS bridge

2.40 → 0.76

Residual

-277.6%

EPS growth-68.3%
Multiple rerating+406.3%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-277.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.