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MILDEF.ST$180.65-0.28%
Fair $180.65+0.0%

MILDEF.ST

MilDef Group AB (publ)

Industrials / Aerospace & DefenseStockholm

$180.65

-0.50 (-0.28%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $180.65Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $8.7M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 11/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · MILDEF.STLocal privado en este navegador · MilDef Group AB (publ)
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.5B

P/E

38.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

28.4x

↑

ROE

9.7%

↑

Gross Margin

45.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.51

↑
52-Week Range$181
$110$294

TradingView lightweight chart

MILDEF.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $180.65Periodo +389.6%
Fair value: $180.65

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+40.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.05B · net income $147.7M · FCF $-33.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

45.0%-2.7% pts

Operating margin

10.4%+6.3% pts

Net margin

7.2%+5.3% pts

FCF margin

-1.6%+11.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.05B$2.05B$1.20B$1.15B$738.8M
Net Income$147.7M$147.7M$-220.3M$69.0M$14.2M
EBITDA$319.8M$319.8M$-36.1M$176.7M$57.8M
EPS3.153.15-5.431.710.37
Gross Margin45.0%45.0%49.0%48.3%47.7%
Operating Margin10.4%10.4%10.0%9.2%4.0%
Net Margin7.2%7.2%-18.3%6.0%1.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.510.510.200.430.40
Current Ratio2.092.09———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-33.6M$-33.6M$123.9M$8.7M$-94.8M
Returns
ROE9.7%9.7%-20.0%8.2%1.8%
Valuation
P/E38.7738.77—38.01214.05
EV/EBITDA28.4328.43—16.4456.26
P/B5.585.584.623.103.80
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth70.3%70.3%4.3%55.8%—
EPS Growth158.0%158.0%-417.5%362.2%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

72.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$16.03

Spread vs growth

86.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

43.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$19.40

Spread vs growth

114.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

25.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$31.24

Spread vs growth

132.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -35.4%

Total return

-35.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-5.43 → 3.15

Residual

-35.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-35.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.