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MODAIRY.BO$34.96+5.98%
Fair $34.96+0.0%

MODAIRY.BO

Modern Dairies Limited

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsBSE

$34.96

+2.08 (+5.98%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $34.96Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 1/9
Declining RevenueMargin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $165.0M · quality 57.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 34/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · MODAIRY.BOLocal privado en este navegador · Modern Dairies Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$994M

P/E

19.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.1x

↑

ROE

8.8%

↑

Gross Margin

20.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.21

↓
52-Week Range$35
$30$59

TradingView lightweight chart

MODAIRY.BO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $36.86Periodo +6310.4%
Fair value: $34.96

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.7%

FCF / Net income

-1.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.40B · net income $48.8M · FCF $-56.7M

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

20.4%-5.7% pts

Operating margin

1.9%-4.3% pts

Net margin

1.4%-4.2% pts

FCF margin

-1.7%-7.2% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$3.40B$3.40B$3.48B$3.60B$2.16B
Net Income$48.8M$48.8M$829.6M$342.3M$121.6M
EBITDA$111.1M$111.1M$707.1M$414.8M$179.9M
EPS——35.3214.685.21
Gross Margin20.4%20.4%20.6%19.5%26.0%
Operating Margin1.9%1.9%3.1%5.1%6.2%
Net Margin1.4%1.4%23.8%9.5%5.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.210.210.18-1.15-1.31
Current Ratio1.111.11———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-56.7M$-56.7M$165.0M$232.1M$120.5M
Returns
ROE8.8%8.8%205.6%-55.5%-12.7%
Valuation
P/E19.7519.751.532.313.79
EV/EBITDA9.059.051.773.599.52
P/B1.791.793.14——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.3%-2.3%-3.3%66.6%—
EPS Growth——140.6%181.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -31.4%

Total return

-31.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

35.32 → n/d

Residual

-31.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-31.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.