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MOG-B$369.99+2.78%
Fair $369.99+0.0%

MOG-B

Moog Inc.

Industrials / Aerospace & DefenseNYSE

$369.99

+9.99 (+2.78%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $369.99Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 62/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $45.9M · quality 51.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 38/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

62/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 18Warnings: 0unknown: 18
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · MOG-BLocal privado en este navegador · Moog Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$11.7B

P/E

41.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

26.1x

↑

ROE

11.8%

↑

Gross Margin

27.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.47

↑
52-Week Range$370
$178$370

TradingView lightweight chart

MOG-B price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $369.99Periodo +2983.3%
Fair value: $369.99

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2008–2025 · 17 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.3%

FCF CAGR

+13.0%

FCF margin

3.3%

FCF / Net income

0.55x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.86B · net income $235.0M · FCF $128.4M

2008-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.4%-4.6% pts

Operating margin

10.6%— pts

Net margin

6.1%-0.2% pts

FCF margin

3.3%+2.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Income Statement
Revenue$3.86B$3.86B$3.61B$3.32B$3.04B$2.85B$2.88B$2.90B$2.71B$2.50B$2.41B$2.53B$2.65B$2.61B$2.47B$2.33B$2.11B$1.85B$1.90B
Net Income$235.0M$235.0M$208.8M$175.2M$155.2M$157.2M$9.2M$174.5M$95.2M$141.3M$126.7M$131.9M$158.2M$120.5M$152.5M$136.0M$108.1M$85.0M$119.1M
EBITDA$488.5M$488.5M$432.1M$370.7M$328.1M$361.1M$303.3M$406.4M$350.9M$349.0M$337.0M$349.1M$385.0M$335.6M$374.2M$342.7M$307.7M$247.8M—
EPS7.337.336.405.474.834.870.284.962.643.903.473.353.522.633.332.952.361.982.75
Gross Margin27.4%27.4%28.1%27.1%27.0%27.2%25.8%28.1%28.6%29.4%29.5%29.2%30.1%30.0%30.2%29.2%29.0%29.1%32.0%
Operating Margin10.6%10.6%11.0%9.5%8.7%9.5%7.5%11.1%9.7%10.4%9.9%9.7%10.4%8.7%11.1%10.6%10.2%9.3%—
Net Margin6.1%6.1%5.8%5.3%5.1%5.5%0.3%6.0%3.5%5.7%5.3%5.2%6.0%4.6%6.2%5.8%5.1%4.6%6.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.470.470.480.530.580.590.750.63————0.570.390.510.600.68——
Current Ratio1.681.68—————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$128.4M$128.4M$45.9M$-37.7M$107.4M$164.5M$190.9M$63.0M$7.9M$142.0M$148.6M$253.9M$208.3M$158.1M$107.3M$112.5M$129.3M$36.2M$16.1M
Returns
ROE11.8%11.8%11.4%10.7%10.8%11.2%0.7%13.2%7.8%11.6%12.8%13.3%11.7%7.8%11.7%11.4%9.6%8.0%12.0%
Valuation
P/E41.7641.7631.0720.6715.67——————————————
EV/EBITDA26.1126.1116.7711.929.65——————————————
P/B5.965.963.522.211.69——————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.0%7.0%8.8%9.2%—-1.1%-0.7%7.2%8.5%3.5%-4.5%-4.6%1.5%5.7%6.0%10.2%14.4%-2.8%—
EPS Growth14.5%14.5%17.0%13.3%—1639.3%-94.4%87.9%-32.3%12.4%3.6%-4.8%33.8%-21.0%12.9%25.0%19.2%-28.0%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%—————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

64.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$32.83

Spread vs growth

-50.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

40.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$39.72

Spread vs growth

-25.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

24.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$63.98

Spread vs growth

-9.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +101.5%

Total return

+101.5%

Start / end P/E

28.7x → 50.5x

EPS bridge

6.40 → 7.33

Residual

+11.0%

EPS growth+14.5%
Multiple rerating+75.6%
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+11.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.