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MONIKA.BO$226.50-1.69%
Fair $226.50+0.0%

MONIKA.BO

Monika Alcobev Limited

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesBSE

$226.50

-3.90 (-1.69%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $226.50Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-545.8M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 19/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · MONIKA.BOLocal privado en este navegador · Monika Alcobev Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.9B

P/E

14.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

11.7x

↑

ROE

13.2%

↑

Gross Margin

39.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.86

↑
52-Week Range$227
$217$345

TradingView lightweight chart

MONIKA.BO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $226.50Periodo -21.4%
Fair value: $226.50

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+29.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-34.0%

FCF / Net income

-3.19x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.01B · net income $321.4M · FCF $-1.02B

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

39.9%+2.0% pts

Operating margin

14.4%-4.6% pts

Net margin

10.7%+1.2% pts

FCF margin

-34.0%-29.1% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$3.01B$3.01B$2.36B$1.80B$1.37B
Net Income$321.4M$321.4M$231.1M$166.0M$130.3M
EBITDA$545.6M$545.6M$497.3M$337.7M$256.3M
EPS——10.787.746.07
Gross Margin39.9%39.9%38.2%34.8%37.8%
Operating Margin14.4%14.4%19.0%17.8%18.9%
Net Margin10.7%10.7%9.8%9.2%9.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.860.861.812.104.21
Current Ratio1.901.90———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.02B$-1.02B$-420.7M$-545.8M$-66.9M
Returns
ROE13.2%13.2%24.1%28.4%76.1%
Valuation
P/E14.0914.09———
EV/EBITDA11.6711.67———
P/B1.991.99———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth27.5%27.5%30.9%31.3%—
EPS Growth——39.3%27.4%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total -20.9%

Total return

-20.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

10.78 → n/d

Residual

-21.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-21.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.