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MPLX$54.96+0.57%
Fair $54.96+0.0%

MPLX

MPLX LP

Energy / Oil & Gas MidstreamNYSE

$54.96

+0.31 (+0.57%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $54.96Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 22% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $4.5B · quality 65.3/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 90/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 14Warnings: 0unknown: 14
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · MPLXLocal privado en este navegador · MPLX LP
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$55.8B

P/E

11.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

10.9x

↑

ROE

34.3%

↑

Gross Margin

43.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.83

↑
52-Week Range$55
$48$60

TradingView lightweight chart

MPLX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $54.96Periodo +102.1%
Fair value: $54.96

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2012–2025 · 13 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

35.7%

FCF / Net income

0.83x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $11.47B · net income $4.91B · FCF $4.10B

2012-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

43.6%— pts

Operating margin

41.5%— pts

Net margin

42.8%— pts

FCF margin

35.7%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Income Statement
Revenue$11.47B$11.47B$10.90B$10.43B$10.54B$8.02B$6.90B$7.04B$5.45B$3.87B$3.03B$1.10B$793.0M$486.0M—
Net Income$4.91B$4.91B$4.32B$3.93B$3.94B$3.08B$-720.0M$1.03B$1.82B$794.0M$233.0M$156.0M$121.0M$78.0M$13.1M
EBITDA$7.34B$7.34B$6.59B$6.09B$6.06B——————————
EPS4.824.824.213.803.75——————————
Gross Margin43.6%43.6%44.2%43.7%40.7%——————————
Operating Margin41.5%41.5%41.0%40.3%42.1%49.8%3.1%————————
Net Margin42.8%42.8%39.6%37.6%37.4%38.4%-10.4%14.7%33.4%20.5%7.7%14.2%15.3%16.0%—
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.831.831.561.571.53——————————
Current Ratio1.101.10—————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.10B$4.10B$4.89B$4.46B$4.21B$4.38B$3.34B$1.67B$960.0M$496.0M$178.0M$93.0M$193.0M$105.0M—
Returns
ROE34.3%34.3%31.3%29.4%29.7%——————1.7%26.1%7.0%1.1%
Valuation
P/E11.9011.9011.529.778.96——————————
EV/EBITDA10.9010.9010.509.378.90——————————
P/B3.923.923.582.792.56——————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.2%5.2%4.5%-1.0%—16.3%-2.1%29.2%40.9%27.7%175.1%38.8%63.2%——
EPS Growth14.5%14.5%10.8%1.3%———————————
Dividend Yield7.9%7.9%—————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

0.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$4.88

Spread vs growth

14.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

4.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$5.90

Spread vs growth

10.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$9.50

Spread vs growth

7.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +15.6%

Total return

+15.6%

Start / end P/E

12.1x → 11.4x

EPS bridge

4.21 → 4.82

Residual

-0.9%

EPS growth+14.5%
Multiple rerating-5.9%
Dividend+7.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.