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v0.1
MPQ.F$7.65-3.16%
Fair $7.65+0.0%

MPQ.F

MHP SE

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsFrankfurt

$7.65

-0.25 (-3.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.65Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 55/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-4.0M · quality 35.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

55/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · MPQ.FLocal privado en este navegador · MHP SE
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$819M

P/E

5.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.5x

↓

ROE

8.1%

↑

Gross Margin

23.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.15

↑
52-Week Range$8
$4$9

TradingView lightweight chart

MPQ.F price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.650Periodo -35.7%
Fair value: $7.650

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.1%

FCF / Net income

-0.02x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.77B · net income $175.0M · FCF $-4.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.9%+0.9% pts

Operating margin

10.0%-2.6% pts

Net margin

4.6%+13.2% pts

FCF margin

-0.1%+1.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.77B$3.77B$3.05B$3.02B$2.64B
Net Income$175.0M$175.0M$134.0M$144.0M$-226.0M
EBITDA$645.0M$645.0M$500.0M$502.0M$53.0M
EPS1.631.631.251.35-2.11
Gross Margin23.9%23.9%27.8%21.2%23.0%
Operating Margin10.0%10.0%15.0%11.6%12.5%
Net Margin4.6%4.6%4.4%4.8%-8.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.151.151.001.201.33
Current Ratio1.331.33———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-4.0M$-4.0M$-44.0M$219.0M$-30.0M
Returns
ROE8.1%8.1%6.9%9.2%-15.8%
Valuation
P/E5.465.463.731.85—
EV/EBITDA4.474.474.153.4037.21
P/B0.380.380.260.170.26
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth23.6%23.6%0.8%14.3%—
EPS Growth30.4%30.4%-7.4%164.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-25.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.68

Spread vs growth

55.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-12.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.82

Spread vs growth

43.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.32

Spread vs growth

32.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +82.1%

Total return

+82.1%

Start / end P/E

3.4x → 4.7x

EPS bridge

1.25 → 1.63

Residual

+12.1%

EPS growth+30.4%
Multiple rerating+39.7%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+12.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.