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MSGL.HM$3.84-1.55%
Fair $3.84+0.0%

MSGL.HM

msg life ag

Technology / Software - ApplicationHamburg

$3.84

-0.06 (-1.55%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.84Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 6/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $6.0M · quality 33.3/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

12/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 3Warnings: 1unknown: 3
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · MSGL.HMLocal privado en este navegador · msg life ag
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$164M

P/E

14.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.7x

↓

ROE

15.3%

↑

Gross Margin

104.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$4
$3$4

TradingView lightweight chart

MSGL.HM price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.820Periodo +31.7%
Fair value: $3.840

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2023 · 2 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.9%

FCF CAGR

+28.0%

FCF margin

5.5%

FCF / Net income

0.83x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $179.2M · net income $11.9M · FCF $9.9M

2021-FY → 2023-FY

Gross margin

104.1%+31.4% pts

Operating margin

6.9%-0.9% pts

Net margin

6.6%+0.4% pts

FCF margin

5.5%+2.4% pts
MetricTTM
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$179.2M$179.2M$182.9M$193.8M
Net Income$11.9M$11.9M$9.1M$12.2M
EBITDA$17.1M$17.1M$14.5M$17.9M
EPS0.280.280.210.28
Gross Margin104.1%104.1%94.7%72.6%
Operating Margin6.9%6.9%6.3%7.8%
Net Margin6.6%6.6%5.0%6.3%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio3.843.84——
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$9.9M$9.9M$-4.3M$6.0M
Returns
ROE15.3%15.3%13.4%21.1%
Valuation
P/E14.2214.2213.13—
EV/EBITDA8.718.717.79—
P/B2.122.121.75—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.0%-2.0%-5.6%—
EPS Growth30.1%30.1%-24.9%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

7.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.34

Spread vs growth

23.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

8.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.41

Spread vs growth

21.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.66

Spread vs growth

21.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +9.6%

Total return

+9.6%

Start / end P/E

16.5x → 13.8x

EPS bridge

0.21 → 0.28

Residual

-5.0%

EPS growth+30.1%
Multiple rerating-16.6%
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.