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MSW.WA$3.95+2.60%
Fair $3.95+0.0%

MSW.WA

Mostostal Warszawa S.A.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionWarsaw

$3.95

+0.10 (+2.60%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.95Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 17/F
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $102.7M · quality 54.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

17/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 3.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · MSW.WALocal privado en este navegador · Mostostal Warszawa S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$79M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

320.0%

↑

Gross Margin

-3.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

-6.39

↓
52-Week Range$4
$3$9

TradingView lightweight chart

MSW.WA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.950Periodo -81.3%
Fair value: $3.950

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

7.8%

FCF / Net income

-1.00x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.31B · net income $-102.8M · FCF $102.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-3.1%-10.1% pts

Operating margin

-9.9%-13.8% pts

Net margin

-7.9%-9.0% pts

FCF margin

7.8%+8.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.31B$1.31B$1.58B$1.68B$1.61B
Net Income$-102.8M$-102.8M$-26.9M$23.4M$18.0M
EBITDA$-3.6M$-3.6M$72.3M$89.2M$62.4M
EPS——-1.351.170.90
Gross Margin-3.1%-3.1%3.3%5.5%7.0%
Operating Margin-9.9%-9.9%-1.5%1.4%3.9%
Net Margin-7.9%-7.9%-1.7%1.4%1.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-6.39-6.393.142.442.75
Current Ratio0.930.93———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$102.7M$102.7M$-68.5M$103.9M$-7.7M
Returns
ROE320.0%320.0%-37.9%23.9%23.6%
Valuation
P/E———5.886.40
EV/EBITDA——2.371.071.92
P/B——1.591.401.51
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-17.0%-17.0%-5.8%3.8%—
EPS Growth——-215.4%30.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -52.9%

Total return

-52.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.35 → n/d

Residual

-52.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-52.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.