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MUD-R.BK$0.64+0.00%
Fair $0.64+0.0%

MUD-R.BK

Mud & Hound Public Company Limited

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsThailand

$0.64

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.64Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 14/F
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $318.2M · quality 48.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 54/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

14/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -54.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · MUD-R.BKLocal privado en este navegador · Mud & Hound Public Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$674M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-54.9%

↓

Gross Margin

59.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.79

↑
52-Week Range$1
$0$2

TradingView lightweight chart

MUD-R.BK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.690Periodo -87.0%
Fair value: $0.640

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-8.7%

FCF CAGR

+30.3%

FCF margin

13.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.47x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.33B · net income $-672.2M · FCF $318.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

59.6%-0.4% pts

Operating margin

-27.5%-30.4% pts

Net margin

-28.8%-29.6% pts

FCF margin

13.6%+8.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.33B$2.33B$3.00B$3.45B$3.06B
Net Income$-672.2M$-672.2M$-306.3M$-12.1M$24.1M
EBITDA$-165.1M$-165.1M$269.9M$593.5M$502.5M
EPS-0.64-0.64-0.29-0.010.02
Gross Margin59.6%59.6%61.0%59.3%60.0%
Operating Margin-27.5%-27.5%-5.4%2.7%2.9%
Net Margin-28.8%-28.8%-10.2%-0.4%0.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.791.791.231.091.12
Current Ratio0.170.17———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$318.2M$318.2M$264.0M$406.0M$144.0M
Returns
ROE-54.9%-54.9%-16.3%-0.6%1.1%
Valuation
P/E————114.78
EV/EBITDA——16.667.599.95
P/B0.550.551.201.041.27
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-22.2%-22.2%-13.0%12.6%—
EPS Growth-120.7%-120.7%-2800.0%-143.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -67.8%

Total return

-67.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.29 → -0.64

Residual

-67.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-67.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.