StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
NATR$20.80-2.26%
Fair $20.80+0.0%

NATR

Nature's Sunshine Products, Inc.

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsNasdaqCM

$20.80

-0.48 (-2.26%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $20.80Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 30% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $28.8M · quality 65.7/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 49/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 0unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · NATRLocal privado en este navegador · Nature's Sunshine Products, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$366M

P/E

18.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.1x

↓

ROE

12.1%

↑

Gross Margin

72.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$21
$13$28

TradingView lightweight chart

NATR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $20.80Periodo +540.0%
Fair value: $20.80

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

6.0%

FCF / Net income

1.48x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $480.1M · net income $19.5M · FCF $28.8M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

72.4%— pts

Operating margin

5.2%+1.5% pts

Net margin

4.1%+2.3% pts

FCF margin

6.0%+6.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$480.1M$480.1M$454.4M$445.3M$421.9M$444.1M$385.2M$362.2M$364.8M$342.0M$341.2M$324.7M$366.4M$369.8M$360.8M$367.8M$349.9M$342.1M
Net Income$19.5M$19.5M$7.7M$15.1M$-390000.00$30.2M$23.0M$6.9M$-1.2M$-13.8M$675000.00$13.7M$9.8M$17.6M$25.4M$17.6M$-1.2M$6.1M
EBITDA$43.8M$43.8M$32.8M$32.1M$26.5M$45.8M$32.2M$26.7M$15.2M$10.0M$14.8M$18.4M$23.5M$28.0M$37.9M$24.5M$15.5M$16.9M
EPS1.061.060.400.77-0.021.421.070.34-0.04-0.690.110.770.561.071.591.12-0.080.39
Gross Margin72.4%72.4%71.5%72.1%71.0%74.0%73.7%74.1%73.8%73.4%73.3%73.7%75.0%75.0%74.7%75.7%74.5%—
Operating Margin5.2%5.2%4.4%4.2%3.9%7.8%5.6%4.5%1.5%0.4%2.9%4.3%5.2%6.4%9.4%5.5%3.2%3.6%
Net Margin4.1%4.1%1.7%3.4%-0.1%6.8%6.0%1.9%-0.3%-4.0%0.2%4.2%2.7%4.8%7.0%4.8%-0.4%1.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.090.100.13————————0.100.020.07——
Current Ratio2.502.50————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$28.8M$28.8M$14.3M$30.7M$-6.9M$27.9M$32.8M$3.4M$17.0M$5.0M$-7.6M$-12.4M$-12.1M$20.8M$20.0M$1.5M$13.6M$-2.3M
Returns
ROE12.1%12.1%5.0%9.8%-0.3%————————16.7%21.9%20.1%-1.8%10.7%
Valuation
P/E18.9118.9136.6222.31——————————————
EV/EBITDA7.077.076.388.324.93—————————————
P/B2.382.381.802.171.20—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.7%5.7%2.0%5.5%—15.3%6.3%-0.7%6.7%0.3%5.1%-11.4%-0.9%2.5%-1.9%5.1%2.3%—
EPS Growth165.0%165.0%-48.1%3950.0%—32.7%214.7%950.0%94.2%-727.3%-85.7%37.5%-47.7%-32.7%42.0%1500.0%-120.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

20.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.85

Spread vs growth

144.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

16.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.23

Spread vs growth

148.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.60

Spread vs growth

152.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +34.5%

Total return

+34.5%

Start / end P/E

38.7x → 19.6x

EPS bridge

0.40 → 1.06

Residual

-81.2%

EPS growth+165.0%
Multiple rerating-49.2%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-81.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.