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NC-R.BK$1.81+0.00%
Fair $1.81+0.0%

NC-R.BK

Newcity (Bangkok) Public Company Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Apparel RetailThailand

$1.81

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.81Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 26/D
F-Score: 1/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $17.3M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

26/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 0.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · NC-R.BKLocal privado en este navegador · Newcity (Bangkok) Public Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$276M

P/E

90.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

22.9x

↑

ROE

0.4%

↓

Gross Margin

31.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.38

↓
52-Week Range$2
$2$2

TradingView lightweight chart

NC-R.BK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.800Periodo -59.8%
Fair value: $1.810

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.3%

FCF / Net income

-14.44x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $494.9M · net income $2.1M · FCF $-31.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

31.6%-1.4% pts

Operating margin

-0.8%-2.1% pts

Net margin

0.4%-1.3% pts

FCF margin

-6.3%-10.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$494.9M$494.9M$502.9M$525.2M$524.4M
Net Income$2.1M$2.1M$12.3M$20.8M$9.3M
EBITDA$18.7M$18.7M$21.1M$33.2M$17.0M
EPS0.010.010.080.140.06
Gross Margin31.6%31.6%33.5%36.2%33.0%
Operating Margin-0.8%-0.8%2.0%4.3%1.3%
Net Margin0.4%0.4%2.5%4.0%1.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.380.380.360.360.46
Current Ratio1.761.76———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-31.0M$-31.0M$28.6M$17.3M$24.5M
Returns
ROE0.4%0.4%2.6%4.4%2.0%
Valuation
P/E90.5090.5037.9661.3419.92
EV/EBITDA22.9022.9026.9543.1522.31
P/B0.570.570.952.720.41
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.6%-1.6%-4.2%0.2%—
EPS Growth-87.2%-87.2%-42.9%125.8%—
Dividend Yield0.6%0.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

152.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.16

Spread vs growth

-239.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

81.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.19

Spread vs growth

-168.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

41.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.31

Spread vs growth

-128.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -23.6%

Total return

-23.6%

Start / end P/E

30.3x → 180.0x

EPS bridge

0.08 → 0.01

Residual

-431.9%

EPS growth-87.2%
Multiple rerating+495.0%
Dividend+0.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-431.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.