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NCC.L$149.40+4.77%
Fair $149.40+0.0%

NCC.L

NCC Group plc

Technology / Software - InfrastructureLSE

$149.40

+6.80 (+4.77%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $149.40Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $28.4M · quality 80.7/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 79/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

12/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 3Warnings: 0unknown: 3
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · NCC.LLocal privado en este navegador · NCC Group plc
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$417M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

3295.3x

↑

ROE

8.3%

↑

Gross Margin

37.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.11

↓
52-Week Range$149
$107$168

TradingView lightweight chart

NCC.L price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $149.40Periodo +409.1%
Fair value: $149.40

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-8.8%

FCF CAGR

-15.2%

FCF margin

11.9%

FCF / Net income

1.66x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $238.9M · net income $17.1M · FCF $28.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.0%-5.1% pts

Operating margin

-3.3%-14.6% pts

Net margin

7.2%-0.1% pts

FCF margin

11.9%-2.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$238.9M$238.9M$335.1M$314.8M
Net Income$17.1M$17.1M$-4.6M$23.0M
EBITDA$13.9M$13.9M$23.9M$54.4M
EPS——-0.010.07
Gross Margin37.0%37.0%39.4%42.1%
Operating Margin-3.3%-3.3%5.0%11.3%
Net Margin7.2%7.2%-1.4%7.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.110.110.410.54
Current Ratio2.362.36——
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$28.4M$28.4M$24.8M$46.6M
Returns
ROE8.3%8.3%-1.7%7.8%
Valuation
P/E———2871.62
EV/EBITDA3295.293295.291211.361212.37
P/B221.76221.76103.78224.65
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-28.7%-28.7%6.4%—
EPS Growth——-120.3%—
Dividend Yield3.3%3.3%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -1.5%

Total return

-1.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.01 → n/d

Residual

-4.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.