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NCH-R.BK$0.38+0.00%
Fair $0.38+0.0%

NCH-R.BK

N.C. Housing Public Company Limited

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentThailand

$0.38

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.38Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 28/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 8.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 9/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

28/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -4.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · NCH-R.BKLocal privado en este navegador · N.C. Housing Public Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$473M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-4.4%

↓

Gross Margin

24.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.40

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

NCH-R.BK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.480Periodo -83.2%
Fair value: $0.380

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-25.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

45.9%

FCF / Net income

-3.99x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.11B · net income $-128.0M · FCF $510.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.6%-11.5% pts

Operating margin

-7.9%-25.1% pts

Net margin

-11.5%-24.7% pts

FCF margin

45.9%+54.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.11B$1.11B$1.27B$2.37B$2.65B
Net Income$-128.0M$-128.0M$-33.7M$162.1M$349.4M
EBITDA$-82.1M$-82.1M$29.2M$260.3M$488.7M
EPS——-0.030.130.28
Gross Margin24.6%24.6%31.9%32.7%36.1%
Operating Margin-7.9%-7.9%0.4%9.8%17.2%
Net Margin-11.5%-11.5%-2.7%6.8%13.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.400.400.550.570.38
Current Ratio2.102.10———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$510.8M$510.8M$312.2M$-383.3M$-220.5M
Returns
ROE-4.4%-4.4%-1.1%5.1%11.1%
Valuation
P/E———9.925.41
EV/EBITDA——84.0312.766.11
P/B0.160.160.290.510.60
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-12.3%-12.3%-46.3%-10.6%—
EPS Growth——-120.8%-53.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -27.3%

Total return

-27.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.03 → n/d

Residual

-27.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-27.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.