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Recent

v0.1
NCI$9.94-1.58%
Fair $9.94+0.0%

NCI

Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Apparel ManufacturingNasdaqCM

$9.94

-0.16 (-1.58%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $9.94Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 5/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-18.7M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 4/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · NCILocal privado en este navegador · Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$188M

P/E

124.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.5x

↑

ROE

0.6%

↓

Gross Margin

36.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.82

↑
52-Week Range$10
$3$110

TradingView lightweight chart

NCI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $9.940Periodo -97.4%
Fair value: $9.940

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-26.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

12.7%

FCF / Net income

52.36x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $137.2M · net income $331679.0 · FCF $17.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.9%+24.9% pts

Operating margin

1.3%-4.1% pts

Net margin

0.2%-3.3% pts

FCF margin

12.7%+25.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$137.2M$137.2M$235.7M$174.2M$347.5M
Net Income$331679.00$331679.00$8.1M$4.4M$12.4M
EBITDA$7.4M$7.4M$15.1M$11.6M$24.9M
EPS——2.061.092.42
Gross Margin36.9%36.9%21.0%20.1%12.0%
Operating Margin1.3%1.3%4.9%5.2%5.4%
Net Margin0.2%0.2%3.4%2.5%3.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.820.821.22-22.89-1.40
Current Ratio2.612.61———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$17.4M$17.4M$-18.7M$-50.3M$-42.8M
Returns
ROE0.6%0.6%14.2%-185.0%-20.4%
Valuation
P/E124.25124.2513.79——
EV/EBITDA11.4811.4811.39——
P/B0.710.711.96——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-41.8%-41.8%35.3%-49.9%—
EPS Growth——89.6%-55.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -36.3%

Total return

-36.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

2.06 → n/d

Residual

-36.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-36.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.