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NCMI$3.52-1.66%
Fair $3.52+0.0%

NCMI

National CineMedia, Inc.

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesNasdaqGS

$3.52

-0.06 (-1.66%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.52Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 22/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.8M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

22/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 1unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -2.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · NCMILocal privado en este navegador · National CineMedia, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$331M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-2.8%

↓

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$4
$3$6

TradingView lightweight chart

NCMI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.560Periodo -98.6%
Fair value: $3.525

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2026 · 17 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.6%

FCF CAGR

-20.2%

FCF margin

1.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.26x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $243.2M · net income $-10.6M · FCF $2.8M

2009-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

-5.7%-49.9% pts

Net margin

-4.4%-11.2% pts

FCF margin

1.2%-33.0% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$243.2M$243.2M$243.2M$240.8M$165.2M$249.2M$114.6M$90.4M$444.8M$441.4M$426.1M$447.6M$446.5M$462.8M$448.8M$435.4M$427.5M$380.7M
Net Income$-10.6M$-10.6M$-10.6M$-22.3M$705.2M$-28.7M$-48.7M$-65.4M$36.1M$29.8M$58.3M$32.9M$11.3M$41.2M$13.4M$31.5M$29.2M$26.1M
EBITDA——$27.9M$22.0M$750.1M$45.0M$-57.7M$-47.9M$174.9M$166.9M$164.9M$208.8M$180.2M$228.6M$212.2M$212.5M$208.4M$183.8M
EPS-0.11-0.11—-0.2314.34-3.50-6.10-8.404.603.704.805.401.907.302.405.806.206.20
Gross Margin——45.9%47.8%51.5%52.7%————————————
Operating Margin-5.7%-5.7%-5.7%-8.1%-16.5%5.1%-59.9%-67.5%36.3%35.0%36.1%38.7%33.1%43.6%42.7%44.5%44.6%44.2%
Net Margin-4.4%-4.4%-4.4%-9.3%426.9%-11.5%-42.5%-72.3%8.1%6.8%13.7%7.4%2.5%8.9%3.0%7.2%6.8%6.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.060.050.02-2.18-2.08-2.22-2.43-2.50-2.55-2.58-2.27-2.47-2.00-1.86-1.89—
Current Ratio——1.81———————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.8M$2.8M$2.8M$54.5M$-10.0M$-50.2M————————$71.2M$148.3M$133.6M$129.9M
Returns
ROE-2.8%-2.8%-2.8%-5.4%162.3%5.6%9.2%13.8%-9.5%-8.1%-16.1%-9.2%-2.8%-11.6%-3.1%-7.4%-7.1%—
Valuation
P/E————0.29—————————————
EV/EBITDA——11.4426.940.2324.09————————————
P/B——0.891.570.46—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.0%1.0%1.0%45.8%-33.7%—26.8%-79.7%0.8%3.6%-4.8%0.2%-3.5%3.1%3.1%1.8%12.3%—
EPS Growth52.2%52.2%—-101.6%509.7%—27.4%-282.6%24.3%-22.9%-11.1%184.2%-74.0%204.2%-58.6%-6.5%0.0%—
Dividend Yield——3.3%———————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -29.5%

Total return

-29.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → -0.11

Residual

-29.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-29.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.