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NCS.JO$280.00+0.00%
Fair $280.00+0.0%

NCS.JO

Nictus Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty RetailJohannesburg

$280.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $280.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 67/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $17.7M · quality 55.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

67/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · NCS.JOLocal privado en este navegador · Nictus Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$150M

P/E

5.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

158.1x

↑

ROE

15.0%

↑

Gross Margin

39.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$280
$2$285

TradingView lightweight chart

NCS.JO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $280.00Periodo +1300.0%
Fair value: $280.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

153.1%

FCF / Net income

4.45x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $58.9M · net income $20.3M · FCF $90.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

39.0%-9.2% pts

Operating margin

-37.3%-5.8% pts

Net margin

34.4%+23.1% pts

FCF margin

153.1%+156.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$58.9M$58.9M$49.9M$43.6M$44.6M
Net Income$20.3M$20.3M$10.9M$6.6M$5.0M
EBITDA$93.6M$93.6M$66.9M$39.0M$23.1M
EPS0.380.380.200.120.09
Gross Margin39.0%39.0%41.0%39.9%48.2%
Operating Margin-37.3%-37.3%-37.8%-40.8%-31.4%
Net Margin34.4%34.4%21.9%15.1%11.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.040.080.12
Current Ratio1.141.14———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$90.2M$90.2M$-11.7M$17.7M$-1.6M
Returns
ROE15.0%15.0%9.3%6.0%4.8%
Valuation
P/E5.285.28317.54640.71848.36
EV/EBITDA158.09158.0951.12106.68182.14
P/B111.10111.1029.5338.6040.35
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth18.1%18.1%14.4%-2.3%—
EPS Growth85.1%85.1%66.0%30.8%—
Dividend Yield4.3%4.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

303.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$24.85

Spread vs growth

-218.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

139.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$30.06

Spread vs growth

-54.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

62.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$48.42

Spread vs growth

22.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +45.7%

Total return

+45.7%

Start / end P/E

967.3x → 739.0x

EPS bridge

0.20 → 0.38

Residual

-20.1%

EPS growth+85.1%
Multiple rerating-23.6%
Dividend+4.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-20.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.