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Financial Analysis

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Recent

v0.1
NCT$3.25+16.49%
Fair $3.25+0.0%

NCT

Intercont (Cayman) Limited

Industrials / Marine ShippingNasdaqCM

$3.25

+0.46 (+16.49%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.25Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 3/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $10.2M · quality 58.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 85/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

12/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 3Warnings: 1unknown: 3
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.41, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · NCTLocal privado en este navegador · Intercont (Cayman) Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5M

P/E

1.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.1x

↓

ROE

28.7%

↑

Gross Margin

28.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.41

↑
52-Week Range$3
$1$128

TradingView lightweight chart

NCT price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.250Periodo -98.1%
Fair value: $3.250

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2024 · 2 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-9.6%

FCF CAGR

-20.3%

FCF margin

25.4%

FCF / Net income

2.06x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $25.5M · net income $3.1M · FCF $6.5M

2022-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

28.8%-4.3% pts

Operating margin

19.9%-10.5% pts

Net margin

12.3%-14.8% pts

FCF margin

25.4%-7.3% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$25.5M$25.5M$32.4M$31.3M
Net Income$3.1M$3.1M$10.9M$8.5M
EBITDA$12.4M$12.4M$19.9M$15.3M
EPS2.922.9210.998.58
Gross Margin28.8%28.8%44.3%33.1%
Operating Margin19.9%19.9%41.6%30.4%
Net Margin12.3%12.3%33.5%27.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.412.411.973.13
Current Ratio0.440.44——
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$6.5M$6.5M$13.6M$10.2M
Returns
ROE28.7%28.7%60.5%78.1%
Valuation
P/E1.111.11——
EV/EBITDA2.102.10——
P/B0.320.32——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-21.3%-21.3%3.8%—
EPS Growth-73.4%-73.4%28.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-53.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.29

Spread vs growth

-19.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-34.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.35

Spread vs growth

-38.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-15.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.56

Spread vs growth

-58.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -96.7%

Total return

-96.7%

Start / end P/E

9.1x → 1.1x

EPS bridge

10.99 → 2.92

Residual

+64.4%

EPS growth-73.4%
Multiple rerating-87.7%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+64.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.