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v0.1
NDLS$12.76+1.27%
Fair $12.76+0.0%

NDLS

Noodles & Company

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsNasdaqGS

$12.76

+0.16 (+1.27%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.76Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-21.2M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 13Warnings: 0unknown: 13
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · NDLSLocal privado en este navegador · Noodles & Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$75M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

94.0%

↑

Gross Margin

14.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

-5.82

↓
52-Week Range$13
$4$14

TradingView lightweight chart

NDLS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.76Periodo -95.7%
Fair value: $12.76

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2012–2025 · 13 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.0%

FCF / Net income

0.12x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $495.1M · net income $-42.6M · FCF $-5.1M

2012-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.4%— pts

Operating margin

-1.1%-5.8% pts

Net margin

-8.6%-10.1% pts

FCF margin

-1.0%-0.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2015
2014
2013
2012
Income Statement
Revenue$495.1M$495.1M$493.3M$503.4M$509.5M$475.2M$393.7M$462.4M$456.5M$487.5M$455.5M$403.7M$350.9M$256.1M
Net Income$-42.6M$-42.6M$-36.2M$-9.9M$-3.3M$3.7M$-23.3M$1.6M$-37.5M$-71.7M$-13.8M$11.4M$6.7M$3.8M
EBITDA$-4.5M$-4.5M$1.3M$21.8M$22.4M$28.1M$1.7M$27.5M$-9.2M$-39.4M$6.7M$43.7M$34.9M$26.5M
EPS-7.36-7.36-6.40-1.68-0.560.64-4.240.32-9.60-20.64-3.842.961.921.28
Gross Margin14.4%14.4%15.0%16.7%15.7%—————————
Operating Margin-1.1%-1.1%-1.5%0.7%1.0%1.2%-5.1%1.2%-7.4%-13.9%-4.6%4.7%4.1%4.7%
Net Margin-8.6%-8.6%-7.3%-2.0%-0.7%0.8%-5.9%0.4%-8.2%-14.7%-3.0%2.8%1.9%1.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-5.82-5.82-52.2511.016.890.501.380.801.613.280.720.190.05—
Current Ratio0.280.28————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-5.1M$-5.1M$-21.2M$-24.5M$-24.3M$17.4M$-2.7M$12.7M$-16.7M$-18.6M$-5.6M$-7.3M$-10.8M$-2.1M
Returns
ROE94.0%94.0%649.1%-36.3%-8.6%9.7%-78.3%3.3%-104.5%-277.6%-14.7%8.2%5.4%77.3%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA——250.4919.7323.29—————————
P/B———4.916.77—————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.4%0.4%-2.0%-1.2%—20.7%-14.9%1.3%-6.4%7.0%12.8%15.1%37.0%—
EPS Growth-15.0%-15.0%-281.0%-200.0%—115.1%-1425.0%103.3%53.5%-437.5%-229.7%54.2%50.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +104.5%

Total return

+104.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-6.40 → -7.36

Residual

+104.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+104.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.