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NELCAST.NS$139.87-1.51%
Fair $139.87+0.0%

NELCAST.NS

Nelcast Limited

Industrials / Metal FabricationNSE

$139.87

-2.15 (-1.51%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $139.87Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $116.3M · quality 48.7/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · NELCAST.NSLocal privado en este navegador · Nelcast Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$12.2B

P/E

25.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.2x

↑

ROE

8.1%

↑

Gross Margin

56.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.43

↑
52-Week Range$140
$86$181

TradingView lightweight chart

NELCAST.NS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $139.87Periodo +242.4%
Fair value: $139.87

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.8%

FCF CAGR

+6.9%

FCF margin

5.6%

FCF / Net income

1.52x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $13.28B · net income $484.3M · FCF $738.4M

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

56.3%+24.1% pts

Operating margin

6.3%+1.9% pts

Net margin

3.6%+1.3% pts

FCF margin

5.6%+0.7% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$13.28B$13.28B$12.52B$12.58B$12.58B
Net Income$484.3M$484.3M$372.9M$544.1M$297.4M
EBITDA$1.24B$1.24B$1.09B$1.17B$881.0M
EPS——4.296.253.42
Gross Margin56.3%56.3%56.1%35.0%32.1%
Operating Margin6.3%6.3%5.1%5.4%4.4%
Net Margin3.6%3.6%3.0%4.3%2.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.430.430.530.630.65
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$738.4M$738.4M$116.3M$-431.2M$605.2M
Returns
ROE8.1%8.1%6.7%10.5%6.3%
Valuation
P/E25.1125.1120.5122.8926.68
EV/EBITDA11.1611.168.9712.7211.27
P/B2.042.041.382.401.69
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.1%6.1%-0.5%-0.0%—
EPS Growth——-31.4%82.7%—
Dividend Yield0.5%0.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.6%

Total return

+4.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

4.29 → n/d

Residual

+4.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+4.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.