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NEPH$3.69+0.82%
Fair $3.69+0.0%

NEPH

Nephros, Inc.

Healthcare / Medical Instruments & SuppliesNasdaqCM

$3.69

+0.03 (+0.82%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.69Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $752000.00 · quality 48.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 0unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · NEPHLocal privado en este navegador · Nephros, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$40M

P/E

52.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

25.9x

↑

ROE

11.7%

↑

Gross Margin

61.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.10

↓
52-Week Range$4
$3$6

TradingView lightweight chart

NEPH price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.690Periodo -99.6%
Fair value: $3.690

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

8.8%

FCF / Net income

1.38x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $18.8M · net income $1.2M · FCF $1.6M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

61.9%— pts

Operating margin

6.1%— pts

Net margin

6.4%— pts

FCF margin

8.8%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$18.8M$18.8M$14.2M$14.2M$10.0M$10.2M$8.6M$10.3M$5.7M$3.8M$2.3M$1.9M$1.7M$1.7M$1.8M$2.2M$2.9M—
Net Income$1.2M$1.2M$74000.00$-1.6M$-7.4M$-3.9M$-4.5M$-3.2M$-3.4M$-809000.00$-3.0M$-3.1M$-7.4M$1.3M$-6.6M$-7.0M$3.9M$-12.1M
EBITDA$1.3M$1.3M$227000.00$-1.4M$-3.9M$-3.1M$-4.1M$-3.0M$-2.9M$-2.0M$-2.9M$-3.4M$-2.7M$-3.3M$-3.3M$-2.2M——
EPS——0.01-0.15-0.70-0.41——————-2.79-1.62——16.74—
Gross Margin61.9%61.9%61.6%59.0%47.4%55.1%57.4%58.9%56.3%60.2%55.8%54.5%68.6%48.4%59.2%39.2%38.2%—
Operating Margin6.1%6.1%0.0%-11.2%-43.5%-31.8%-49.9%-30.5%-53.0%-58.4%-123.7%-176.0%-152.7%-190.6%-184.4%-104.3%-64.3%—
Net Margin6.4%6.4%0.5%-11.1%-74.0%-37.8%-52.9%-30.8%-59.8%-21.2%-130.7%-158.8%-421.7%76.0%-366.5%-316.1%132.1%—
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.100.100.160.220.200.030.050.180.27—————————
Current Ratio4.554.55————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.6M$1.6M$-547000.00$752000.00$-3.4M$-1.5M$-7.1M$-2.3M——————————
Returns
ROE11.7%11.7%0.9%-18.8%-132.0%-33.1%-36.1%-68.0%-89.6%-41.5%-454.6%115.9%129.7%-35.5%1113.1%-492.5%2874.1%-617.1%
Valuation
P/E52.7152.71154.00———————————————
EV/EBITDA25.9425.9461.63———————————————
P/B3.853.851.904.242.04—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth32.7%32.7%-0.5%42.7%—19.3%-17.2%81.7%49.3%64.2%19.3%11.2%0.5%-3.7%-18.4%-24.6%——
EPS Growth——106.7%78.6%————————-72.2%—————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +35.7%

Total return

+35.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.01 → n/d

Residual

+35.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+35.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.