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NFCX.JK$1715.00+0.29%
Fair $1715.00+0.0%

NFCX.JK

PT NFC Indonesia Tbk

Communication Services / Internet Content & InformationJakarta

$1715.00

+5.00 (+0.29%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1715.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 21/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-17.3B · quality 35.0/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

21/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 2.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · NFCX.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT NFC Indonesia Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.14T

P/E

201.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

26.8x

↑

ROE

2.0%

↓

Gross Margin

3.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.87

↑
52-Week Range$1715
$1025$2300

TradingView lightweight chart

NFCX.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,705Periodo -38.4%
Fair value: $1,715

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-25.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.4%

FCF / Net income

-3.07x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.07T · net income $5.65B · FCF $-17.33B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

3.4%+2.2% pts

Operating margin

0.1%-0.1% pts

Net margin

0.1%-0.1% pts

FCF margin

-0.4%+0.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4069.97B$4069.97B$6074.31B$9526.10B$9836.62B
Net Income$5.65B$5.65B$-70.27B$-275.49B$23.50B
EBITDA$46.01B$46.01B$-112.93B$-441.35B$62.60B
EPS8.528.52-106.08-415.8935.47
Gross Margin3.4%3.4%2.1%1.4%1.3%
Operating Margin0.1%0.1%-0.2%0.2%0.3%
Net Margin0.1%0.1%-1.2%-2.9%0.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.870.870.810.500.08
Current Ratio1.461.46———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-17.33B$-17.33B$-81.09B$30.17B$-78.85B
Returns
ROE2.0%2.0%-25.3%-79.2%3.8%
Valuation
P/E201.29201.29——188.19
EV/EBITDA26.8426.84——67.75
P/B4.024.023.008.317.12
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-33.0%-33.0%-36.2%-3.2%—
EPS Growth108.0%108.0%74.5%-1272.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

161.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$152.18

Spread vs growth

-53.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

84.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$184.13

Spread vs growth

23.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

42.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$296.55

Spread vs growth

65.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -15.6%

Total return

-15.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-106.08 → 8.52

Residual

-15.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-15.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.